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Water Balance from Space: Promoting climate resilience in the Blue Nile/Abay Highlands

机译:太空中的水平衡:在Blue Nile / Abay高地提升气候适应力

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While climate models differ significantly in their predictions of the magnitude and trajectory of future climate change, there is little argument that the global climate is changing. Many parts of the world may not see large impacts, but those who will suffer the most are typically those who are least equipped to adapt to the increasing amplitude in climatic swings - toward both the dry and wet ends of the hydrologic spectrum. Rural societies practicing subsistence agriculture often do not have adequate adaptive capacity to see themselves through times of drought or sufficient advanced warning of impending flooding to take proper precautions. When times get rough, environmentally risky decisions are often made (e.g., farming in marginal lands, deforestation).
机译:尽管气候模型对未来气候变化的幅度和轨迹的预测存在显着差异,但几乎没有论据认为全球气候正在发生变化。世界上许多地区可能不会受到很大的影响,但是受灾最大的人通常是那些装备最差的人,无法适应不断增加的气候变化幅度(朝向水文光谱的干端和湿端)。从事自给农业的农村社会往往没有足够的适应能力,可以度过干旱时期,也没有足够的预警来警告即将发生的洪水以采取适当的预防措施。当情况变得艰难时,通常会做出具有环境风险的决定(例如,在边际土地上耕种,砍伐森林)。

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