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How to Value Energy Assets Using Real Options

机译:如何使用实物期权对能源资产进行估值

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Since the early studies of the 1980s, much has been written about real-option valuation. Led by the seminal work of Brennan and Schwartz,1 who solve for the value of a natural resource investment, these studies sought to build upon the financial-option work of Black and Scholes2 and others. Nevertheless, today there remains a real skepticism among many capital asset valuation professionals as to the role of real-option valuation techniques. The skepticism is driven in part by misconceptions and in part by valid concerns. In this article, I briefly describe the real-option valuation method, discuss the misconceptions and concerns, and take a look at four examples of how the real-option technique can effectively value capital asset projects. The empirical methods are referred to but not explicitly stated.
机译:自1980年代初期研究以来,关于实物期权估值的文章很多。在布伦南(Brennan)和施瓦茨(Schwartz)[1]的开创性工作的带领下,这些工作解决了自然资源投资的价值,这些研究试图以布莱克(Black)和斯科尔斯(Scholes)2等人的金融期权工作为基础。尽管如此,今天,许多资本资产评估专家对实物期权评估技术的作用仍持怀疑态度。怀疑的部分原因是错误的观念,部分原因是出于合理的考虑。在本文中,我将简要介绍实物期权估值方法,讨论误解和担忧,并看一下实物期权技术如何有效地对资本资产项目进行估值的四个示例。引用但未明确说明经验方法。

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