Combining the advantages of neural networks using the concept of committee machine in the groundwater salinity prediction

摘要

Salinity is one of the main factors in groundwater quality monitoring. The main objectives of this study are to investigate and compare the accuracy of three different neural computing techniques, multi-layer perceptron neural network (MLP), radial basis function neural network (RBFNN), and generalized regression neural network (GRNN), in prediction of groundwater salinity of the Tabriz plain confined aquifer, expressed by electrical conductivity [EC (iS/cm)], and to employ an integrated method to combine the advantages of neural network models utilizing the concept of committee machine. To develop the models, 93 data records of groundwater samples were collected from East Azarbaijan regional water company. The data set including Ca2+,Mg2+,Na+,SO42-and Cl- concentrations as the inputs and salinity [EC (iS/ cm)] as an output were divided into two subsets; training and testing based on cross validation approach. After training and testing of the models, the performance of the models were evaluated using root mean square errors (RMSE), determination coefficient (R ) and mean absolute error (MAE). The performance criteria of the constructed neural network models showed that RBFNN model has the best performance in predicting salinity. The committee neural network (CNN) combined the results of salinitypredicted from MLP, RBFNN and GRNN, each of themhas a weight factor showing its contribution in overall prediction. The optimal weights were derived by a genetic algorithm (GA). The results of salinity prediction derived from CNN showed that the CNN performs better than anyone of the individual ANNs acting alone for predicting groundwater salinity.