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Being there is important, but getting there matters too: the role of path in the valuation process.

机译:在那里很重要,但到达那里也很重要:路径在估值过程中的作用。

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PURPOSE: Traditional decision-analytic models presume that utilities are invariant to context. The influence of 2 types of context on patients' utility assessments was examined here the path by which one reaches a health state and personal experience with a health state. METHODS: Three groups of patients were interviewed: men older than age 49 years with prostate cancer but no diabetes (CaP), diabetes but no prostate cancer (DM), and neither disease (ND). The utility of erectile dysfunction (ED) was assessed using a standard gamble (SG). Each subject completed 2 SGs: 1) a no-context version that gave no explanation for the cause of ED and 2) a contextualized version in which prostate cancer treatment, the failure to manage diabetes, or the natural course of aging was said to be the cause. RESULTS: Patients with disease assigned higher utilities to ED in a matching context than in discrepant contexts. Regression models found that the valuation process was also sensitive to the match between disease pathin the utility assessment and patients' personal experiences. CONCLUSIONS: These findings lend insight into why acontextual utility assessments typically used in decision analyses have not been able to predict patient behavior as well as expected. The valuation process appears to change systematically when context is specified, suggesting that unspecified contexts rather than random error may lead to fluctuations in the values assigned to identical health states.
机译:目的:传统的决策分析模型假定效用对于上下文是不变的。此处考察了两种类型的情境对患者效用评估的影响,其中一种达到健康状态的途径以及个人对健康状态的体验。方法:采访了三组患者:年龄在49岁以上的前列腺癌但无糖尿病(CaP),糖尿病但无前列腺癌(DM)和无疾病(ND)的男性。使用标准赌博(SG)评估勃起功能障碍(ED)的效用。每个受试者完成2个研究组:1)没有上下文的版本,没有解释ED的原因; 2)上下文相关的版本,其中前列腺癌治疗,糖尿病治疗失败或自然衰老被认为是原因。结果:与匹配的情况相比,在匹配的情况下疾病患者对ED的效用更高。回归模型发现,评估过程对效用评估中的疾病路径与患者的个人经历之间的匹配也很敏感。结论:这些发现有助于深入了解为何决策分析中通常使用的上下文相关效用评估无法预测患者行为并达到预期效果。当指定上下文时,评估过程似乎会系统地发生变化,这表明未指定的上下文而不是随机错误可能会导致分配给相同健康状态的值出现波动。

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