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Should Sellers Prefer Auctions? A Laboratory Comparison of Auctions and Sequential Mechanisms

机译:卖家应该选择拍卖吗?拍卖与顺序机制的实验室比较

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摘要

When bidders incur a cost to learn their valuations, bidder entry can impact auction performance. Two common selling mechanisms in this environment are an English auction and a sequential bidding process. Theoretically, sellers should prefer the auction, because it generates higher expected revenues, whereas bidders should prefer the sequential mechanism, because it generates higher expected bidder profits. We compare the two mechanisms in a controlled laboratory environment, varying the entry cost, and find that, contrary to the theoretical predictions, average seller revenues tend to be higher under the sequential mechanism, whereas average bidder profits are approximately the same. We identify three systematic behavioral deviations from the theoretical model: (1) in the auction, bidders do not enter 100% of the time; (2) in the sequential mechanism, bidders do not set preemptive bids according to the predicted threshold strategy; and (3) subsequent bidders tend to overenter in response to preemptive bids by first bidders. We develop a model of noisy bidder-entry costs that is consistent with these behaviors, and we show that our model organizes the experimental data well.
机译:当竞标者招致学习其估值的费用时,竞标者的进入会影响拍卖表现。在这种环境下,两种常见的销售机制是英国拍卖和顺序竞标过程。从理论上讲,卖方应优先考虑拍卖,因为它可以产生更高的预期收益,而竞标者应该更喜欢顺序机制,因为它可以产生更高的预期投标人利润。我们在受控的实验室环境中比较了两种机制,改变了入场成本,发现与理论预测相反,在顺序机制下,平均卖方收入倾向于更高,而平均竞标者利润则大致相同。我们从理论模型中识别出三个系统的行为偏差:(1)在拍卖中,投标人没有100%的时间进入; (2)在序贯机制中,投标人不按照预测的门槛策略设置优先竞标; (3)随后的竞标者倾向于响应第一竞标者的先发制人竞标。我们开发了一个与这些行为一致的嘈杂的投标人进入成本模型,并且我们证明了我们的模型很好地组织了实验数据。

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