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Evaluating single- and multi-species procedures to estimate time-varying catchability functional parameters

机译:评估单物种和多物种程序以估计随时间变化的可捕获性功能参数

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Time-varying catchability, is prevalent in many management regions, and can be modeled using density dependence and time trend parameters. A catchability, model can be estimated using single- or multi-species data, and parameter estimates might be of interest as an input for stock assessment models or in their own right (e.g., catchability, trends as an index of technology improvements). An operating model was developed to replicate the catch-at-age, fishery-independent survey, and catch-per-unit-effort data from the Gulf of Mexico. Ordinary least squares was used to estimate catchability, trends, density dependence, and annual catchability using 10 different estimation procedures. Procedures included an "imputation" strategy, where data from similar species are used to estimate catchability parameters for a focal species. Estimated trend, density dependence, and annual catchability were compared with index-specific operating model values to determine the precision and accuracy of different estimation procedures in a factorial model design. Multi-species procedures increased precision and accuracy of parameter estimates when compared with single-species procedures, and minimized errors in annual catchability estimates when compared with the assumption of constant catchability. Multi-species procedures also did not introduce large errors in functional parameter or annual catchability estimates, even when density dependence and trend were absent or when between-species variability was high. Procedures that imputed catchability functional parameters from similar species were precise and median unbiased given the quantity and quality of data that are available for the Gulf of Mexico. (C) 2009 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
机译:随时间变化的可捕获性在许多管理区域中都很普遍,并且可以使用密度依赖性和时间趋势参数进行建模。可以使用单物种或多物种数据来估计可捕获性模型,并且可能需要将参数估计值作为存货评估模型的输入或本身(例如,可捕获性,趋势作为技术改进的指标)。开发了一种操作模型来复制墨西哥湾的成年捕捞,独立于渔业的调查以及单位捕捞量的数据。普通最小二乘用于使用10种不同的估计程序来估计可捕获性,趋势,密度依赖性和年度可捕获性。程序包括“注入”策略,其中类似物种的数据用于估计重点物种的捕获能力参数。将估计的趋势,密度依赖性和年度可捕获性与特定于指标的操作模型值进行比较,以确定因子模型设计中不同估计程序的精度和准确性。与单物种程序相比,多物种程序提高了参数估计的准确性和准确性,与假设恒定捕获能力相比,年度捕获能力估计中的误差最小。即使没有密度依赖性和趋势,或者当物种间的变异性很高时,多物种程序也不会在功能参数或年度捕获能力估计中引入大的误差。鉴于可从墨西哥湾获得的数据量和质量,从相似物种中估算可捕集性功能参数的程序非常精确且中位无偏。 (C)2009 Elsevier B.V.保留所有权利。

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