FAS Seminar 2012 Challenges in Fertiliser Sector 10-12 December 2012, Agra

摘要

CONCLUSIONS 1. Global ammonia and urea capacity is likely to expand by 7% and 5% respectively during 2013. Large urea supply develops in Qutar, Abu Dhabi and Algeria in 2013 in addition to sustained increase in China. India will be competing for ammonia with Far East buyers. Urea market is moving into over supply which should last until 2017. This may keep the prices depressed. 2. Global phosphoric acid capacity is estimated to increase by 4% during 2013 over 2012. New capacities are coming up in Tunisia and Jordan which will improve supply to India through the respective Indian partners. Large capacities of finished fertilisers are also coming up in China and Morocco. Very high phosphate prices of 2007-08 have stimulated interest in developing new phosphate rock reserves in Central Asia, Africa, Australia and Latin America. 3. Prices for phosphate rock, phosphoric acid and DAP are expected to moderate, as supply increases.