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Landslide susceptibility mapping at Gongliu county, China using artificial neural network and weight of evidence models

机译:基于人工神经网络和证据模型权重的中国巩留县滑坡敏感性图

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摘要

The aim of this study was to apply and to verify the use of artificial neural network (ANN) and weight of evidence (WoE) models to landslide susceptibility mapping in the Gongliu county, China, using a geographic information system (GIS). For this aim, in this study, a landslide inventory map was prepared using earlier reports and aerial photographs as well as by carrying out field surveys. A total of 163 landslides (70% out of 233 detected landslides) were randomly selected for model training, and the remaining 70 landslides (30%) were used for the model validation. Then, a total number of twelve landslide conditioning factors, such as slope angle, slope aspect, general curvature, plan curvature, profile curvature, altitude, distance to rivers, distance to roads, lithology, rainfall, normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), and sediment transport index (STI), were used in the analysis. Landslide hazardous areas were analyzed and mapped using the landslide-occurrence factors by ANN and WoE models. Finally the output maps were validated using the area under the curve (AUC) method. The validation results showed that the ANN model with a success rate of 82.51% and predictive accuracy of 77.31% performs better than WoE (success rate, 79.82%; predictive accuracy, 74.59%) model. Overall, both models showed almost similar results. Therefore, the two landslide susceptibility maps obtained were successful and can be useful for preliminary general land use planning and hazard mitigation purpose.
机译:这项研究的目的是应用和验证使用人工神经网络(ANN)和证据权重(WoE)模型在中国巩留县使用地理信息系统(GIS)进行滑坡敏感性地图绘制。为此,在这项研究中,使用早期的报告和航拍照片以及进行了实地调查,准备了滑坡清单图。随机选择了总共163个滑坡(在233个检测到的滑坡中占70%)进行模型训练,其余70个滑坡(30%)用于模型验证。然后,总共有十二个滑坡条件因子,例如坡度角,坡度,总曲率,平面曲率,剖面曲率,海拔高度,距河流的距离,距道路的距离,岩性,降雨,归一化植被指数(NDVI),分析中使用了沉积物和输沙指数(STI)。利用滑坡发生因子,通过ANN和WoE模型分析并绘制了滑坡危险区。最后,使用曲线下面积(AUC)方法验证输出图。验证结果表明,人工神经网络模型的成功率为82.51%,预测精度为77.31%,优于WoE模型(成功率为79.82%;预测精度为74.59%)。总体而言,两个模型都显示出几乎相似的结果。因此,获得的两个滑坡敏感性图是成功的,可用于初步的总体土地利用规划和减灾目的。

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