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Competing forces

机译:竞争力量

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摘要

One truism about economists is that even when they deliver good news, it's always coupled with a caveat or two. Of course, there are practical reasons for that. First, it gives them an out. But, in truth, economists understand that the law of unintended consequences has a way of outsmarting the most sophisticated of prediction models. Pick up just about any article on agriculture today and you'll find record price levels are part of the discussion. The main concerns in the cattle industry are whether cattle prices will outrun other input price increases, and whether overall demand from a macro-economic perspective will remain strong enough to push prices higher or maintain them at current levels.
机译:关于经济学家的一种说法是,即使他们传递了好消息,也总是伴随着一两个警告。当然,有实际的原因。首先,它使他们出局。但是,实际上,经济学家知道意外后果定律具有超越最复杂的预测模型的方法。当今几乎所有关于农业的文章都收录了,您会发现创纪录的价格水平是讨论的一部分。养牛业的主要担忧是,养牛价格是否会超过其他投入物价格的上涨,以及从宏观经济角度来看总体需求是否会保持强劲以至于推高价格或将价格维持在当前水平。

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