Crystal balls and tarot cards: Predicting the future is no easy task

摘要

Ever since I was asked to opine on the future of the oil and gas industry, I have been looking for inspiration, but clouds of doubt have filled my crystal ball. When I shuffled my Tarot cards, I discovered I didn't have a full deck. You would think that with more than 55 years of experience in this business I should be able to tell with some degree of certainty what is likely to drive business, technology, and human resources in the coming year. The truth is, I have no idea what will happen to our industry next year or any year after that. So many factors can and will affect our future that any prediction I could make would be the sheerest conjecture. So instead, I will write about what should happen.