Novel approach in developing hourly global solar radiation model based on peak sunshine hours

摘要

The present study explores a novel approach to derive the hourly global solar radiation (HGSR) for any given latitude based on the peak sunshine hours (PSHs). The proposed analytical model describes a relationship between the HGSR and the day length and the PSHs. The applicability of this model is evaluated by comparing the actual and derived values of HGSR for two cities Chennai (13?04?N, 80?17?E) and New Delhi (29?06?N, 77?22?E). To judge the goodness of the proposed model a set of error metrics has been developed by evaluating the variation of actual HGSR from the simulated value for a given day over 12 months. The overall average mean bias error for one year is 1.015% and 1.08% for Chennai and New Delhi, respectively. The agreement between the actual and the simulated values is generally good, with an appreciable correlation of 95%. In particular, unlike the other models this approach requires only two inputs which are easily available for any location. The proposed technique is useful for any solar application designer for deriving the hourly solar radiation values for a given day of any location with less available climate data.