Modelling Pattern for Coal Loaded Wagon Rakes' Arrival in a Low Capacity Thermal Power Plant

摘要

Material handling has been an important consideration for any industrial unit. The thermal power plants producing usable and easily transmissible form of energy for industrial growth as well as domestic happiness invariably depend on rakes of coal received and their unloading for smooth operation. A model has been developed to forecast arrival of coal rake in the thermal power plant having capacity around 500 MW. The knowledge of arrival of coal rakes is an essential parameter for smooth functioning and continuous operation of a thermal power plant. The knowledge of 3-point moving average has been applied and repetitively used to smoothen the haphazardly distributed and enormously large number of data collected from the plants and that of multiple linear regression analysis has been used for developing the model. The knowledge of multiple linear regression analysis and 3-point moving average and its iteration on the irregularly placed and haphazardly distributed data pertaining to the arrival of coal loaded wagon rakes finds the model suggested for the variable, interarrival time giving higher value of coefficient of determination and passing F-test for its validity.