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首页> 外文期刊>International Journal of Climatology: A Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society >A climatology of convective available potential energy in Great Britain
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A climatology of convective available potential energy in Great Britain

机译:英国对流可用势能的气候学

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Deep moist convection (DMC) requires three ingredients: instability, moisture and lift. One measure that incorporates two of these, instability and moisture, is convective available potential energy (CAPE). A 10-year climatology of CAPE over Great Britain is presented covering the period 1 June 2002-31 May 2012, based on a 9-km grid spacing implementation of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model, with two-way interactive nesting. Appropriate tests are carried out to verify model reliability by comparing simulated and observed CAPE. CAPE is found to be highly variable both spatially and temporally, the highest values being produced during Spanish plume events. A strong relationship is confirmed between surface temperature and CAPE magnitude, the highest CAPE across Great Britain during this period locally exceeding 3000 J kg~(-1). In an average year, 15 days produce CAPE in excess of 500 J kg~(-1) somewhere in Great Britain, 4 days>1000 J kg~(-1) and 1 day>1500 J kg~(-1). Three main CAPE seasons are identified: 'land dominated CAPE' between April and September, 'sea dominated CAPE' between September and January and 'low CAPE' from January to April. The southern North Sea witnesses significant CAPE all year round because of a combination of favourable synoptic situations, including warm air plumes in spring/summer and cold air incursions over warmer seas in winter. CAPE is not a direct predictor of thunderstorm incidence, due in part to the confounding effect of convective inhibition (CIN). However, at the annual scale, when comparing against an existing days of thunder climatology, we observe a close correspondence with >500 J kg~(-1) CAPEfrequency.
机译:深湿对流(DMC)需要三种成分:不稳定,潮湿和浮力。对流有效势能(CAPE)是结合不稳定性和湿度这两个因素的一种措施。基于天气研究和预报(WRF)模型的9公里网格间距,并采用双向交互嵌套,介绍了英国CAPE的10年气候,涵盖2002年6月1日至2012年5月31日。通过比较模拟和观察到的CAPE,进行了适当的测试以验证模型的可靠性。发现CAPE在空间和时间上都高度可变,在西班牙羽流事件期间产生了最高值。表面温度与CAPE大小之间有很强的关系,在此期间,英国最高CAPE局部超过3000 J kg〜(-1)。在英国某地区,平均每年有15天产生的CAPE超过500 J kg〜(-1),> 1000 J kg〜(-1)有4天,> 1500 J kg〜(-1)1天。确定了三个主要的CAPE季节:4月至9月的“陆地主导CAPE”,9月至1月的“海上主导CAPE”以及1月至4月的“低CAPE”。由于有利的天气形势的综合影响,北海南部地区全年常有CAPE,包括春季/夏季的暖风羽流和冬季在较暖的海面上的冷风入侵。 CAPE不是雷暴发生率的直接预测因素,部分原因是对流抑制(CIN)的混杂作用。然而,在年尺度上,当与现有的雷暴气候天数进行比较时,我们观察到CAPE频率> 500 J kg〜(-1)紧密相关。

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