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Climatology of potentially severe convective environments from reanalysis.

机译:重新分析得出的潜在严重对流环境的气候学。

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摘要

This study establishes a U.S. climatology of potentially severe convective environments for the period 1979--2009 using reanalysis data. Examinations of variability of significant severe weather environments are presented for five active severe weather regions in the U.S. Regional comparisons illustrate significant environments have changed little over the period of record. Significant severe environments are then verified by significant severe weather reports to ensure climatologies presented herein are indeed representative of observations. Reports indicate that environments calculated by reanalysis tend to overestimate the actual distribution of reports, likely due to the absence of accounting for a lifting mechanism. On average, reanalysis calculated significant severe weather environments closely mimic the annual cycle of significant severe weather reports. Additionally, analysis the Arctic Oscillation's impact on significant severe weather reports in the Midwest also conducted. While the Arctic Oscillation alone shows little skill in predicting significant severe weather reports, further studies should incorporate additional teleconnection indices, as many factors must work in concert to produce a significant severe weather event.
机译:本研究使用重新分析数据建立了1979--2009年期间美国潜在的严重对流环境的气候学。提出了针对美国五个活跃的恶劣天气地区的严重恶劣天气环境变化的检验。区域比较表明,在记录期间,重大环境变化不大。然后通过重要的恶劣天气报告来验证重要的严酷环境,以确保此处介绍的气候确实是观测的代表。报告表明,通过重新分析计算出的环境往往会高估报告的实际分布,这可能是由于没有考虑提升机制的缘故。平均而言,重新分析计算得出的严重恶劣天气环境与严重恶劣天气报告的年度周期非常相似。此外,还分析了北极涛动对中西部重大恶劣天气报告的影响。虽然仅北极涛动在预报重大恶劣天气报告方面几乎没有技巧,但进一步的研究应纳入其他遥相关指标,因为许多因素必须协同工作才能产生重大恶劣天气事件。

著录项

  • 作者

    Gensini, Vittorio Angelo.;

  • 作者单位

    Northern Illinois University.;

  • 授予单位 Northern Illinois University.;
  • 学科 Atmospheric Sciences.;Meteorology.
  • 学位 M.S.
  • 年度 2010
  • 页码 119 p.
  • 总页数 119
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

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