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Recent trends of mean and extreme precipitation in Korea

机译:韩国平均和极端降水的最新趋势

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摘要

The spatial and temporal variability of precipitation in Korea were investigated using 183 weather station data for 1973-2005. A set of 16 indices that represent mean and extreme values of precipitation data were estimated using daily precipitation data, linear and spatial trend relationships of the indices were analysed using the Mann-Kendall test and Moran's I test statistic, respectively. Results demonstrate that annual precipitation data have a significant positive trend and there is a strong spatial relationship in their variability. The increase of annual precipitation is mainly associated with the increase of frequency and intensity of heavy precipitation during summer season. However, precipitation during spring and winter seasons had a decreasing trend. This variation of precipitation is likely to increase flood and drought risk. It means that the increase of annual precipitation should not be helpful for water resources management but could be a burden to river management and dam operation in Korea.
机译:利用1973-2005年的183个气象站数据,对韩国降水的时空变化进行了调查。使用每日降水量数据估算了代表降水数据平均值和极值的一组16个指标,分别使用Mann-Kendall检验和Moran's I检验统计量分析了指标的线性和空间趋势关系。结果表明,年降水量数据具有明显的正趋势,并且它们的变异性有很强的空间关系。年降水量的增加主要与夏季强降水的频率和强度的增加有关。但是,春季和冬季的降水量有减少的趋势。降水的这种变化可能会增加洪水和干旱的风险。这意味着年降水量的增加不应有助于水资源管理,而可能成为韩国河流管理和大坝运营的负担。

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