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A new class of asymmetric exponential power densities with applications to economics and finance

机译:一类新的非对称指数幂密度及其在经济学和金融学中的应用

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摘要

We introduce a new five-parameter family of distributions, the asymmetric exponential power (AEP), able to cope with asymmetries and leptokurtosis and, at the same time, allowing for a continuous variation from non-normality to normality. We prove that the maximum likelihood (ML) estimates of the AEP parameters are consistent on the whole parameter space, and when sufficiently large values of the shape parameters are considered, they are also asymptotically efficient and normal. We derive the Fisher information matrix for the AEP and we show that it can be continuously extended also to the region of small shape parameters. Through numerical simulations, we find that this extension can be used to obtain a reliable value for the errors associated to ML estimates also for samples of relatively small size (100 observations). Moreover, we show that around this sample size, the bias associated with ML estimates, although present, becomes negligible. Finally, we present a few empirical investigations, using diverse data from economics and finance, to compare the performance of AEP with respect to other, commonly used, families of distributions.
机译:我们引入了一个新的五参数分布族,即非对称指数幂(AEP),它能够应对不对称和峰度变化,同时允许从非正态到正态的连续变化。我们证明了AEP参数的最大似然(ML)估计在整个参数空间上是一致的,并且当考虑形状参数的足够大的值时,它们也是渐近有效的和法线的。我们导出了AEP的Fisher信息矩阵,并表明它也可以连续扩展到形状参数较小的区域。通过数值模拟,我们发现此扩展可用于获得相对较小的样本(100个观测值)的与ML估计相关的误差的可靠值。此外,我们表明,在此样本量附近,与ML估计值相关的偏差(尽管存在)可以忽略不计。最后,我们使用来自经济和金融的各种数据,进行一些实证研究,以比较AEP与其他常用分布族的表现。

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