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Teaching statistics in the physics curriculum: Unifying and clarifying role of subjective probability

机译:物理课程中的统计教学:统一和阐明主观概率的作用

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摘要

Subjective probability is based on the intuitive idea that probability quantifies the degree of belief that an event will occur. A probability theory based on this idea represents the most general framework for handling uncertainty. A brief introduction to subjective probability and Bayesian inference is given, with comments on typical misconceptions which tend to discredit it and with comparisons to other approaches. (C) 1999 American Association of Physics Teachers. [References: 28]
机译:主观概率基于直觉性的思想,即概率量化了事件将发生的信念程度。基于这种想法的概率理论代表了处理不确定性的最通用框架。简要介绍了主观概率和贝叶斯推论,并评论了一些容易使它抹黑的典型误解,并与其他方法进行了比较。 (C)1999年美国物理教师协会。 [参考:28]

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