Interrelationship between presidential approval, presidential votes and macroeconomic performance, 1948-2000

摘要

Analyses of presidential votes generally differ from that of presidential popularity concerning the key economic variables that influence citizen opinions. Vote research usually emphasizes real economic growth, while popularity research typically focuses on unemployment. Actually, both determinants significantly affect both variables of citizen sentiment. Citizen economic preferences, however, appear more unemployment averse during democratic presidencies than republican presidencies.