I-TRACH: Validating A Tool for Predicting Prolonged Mechanical Ventilation

摘要

Purpose: We previously developed a bedside model (I-TRACH), which used commonly obtained data at the time of intubation to predict the duration of mechanical ventilation (MV). We now sought to validate this in a prospective trial. Methods: A prospective, observational study of 225 consecutive adult medical intensive care unit patients requiring MV. Utilizing the original 6 variables used in the I-TRACH model (Intubation in the ICU, Tachycardia [heart rate > 110], Renal dysfunction [blood urea nitrogen > 25], Acidemia [pH 2.0 or >50% increase from baseline values], and decreased HCO_(3)[ 7 and >14 days. Similarly, those who remained on ventilators for both >7 and >14 days met significantly more I-TRACH criteria than those requiring shorter durations of MV (1.7 ± 1.3 vs 2.8 ± 1.3 vs 3.8 ± 1.3 criteria, P 7 and >14 days at the time of intubation.