A Nonlinear Statistical Model for Extracting a Climatic Signal From Glacier Mass Balance Measurements

机译：从冰川质量平衡测量中提取气候信号的非线性统计模型

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Abstract >Understanding changes in glacier mass balances is essential for investigating climate changes. However, glacier‐wide mass balances determined from geodetic observations do not provide a relevant climatic signal as they depend on the dynamic response of the glaciers. In situ point mass balance measurements provide a direct signal but show a strong spatial variability that is difficult to assess from heterogeneous in situ measurements over several decades. To address this issue, we propose a nonlinear statistical model that takes into account the spatial and temporal changes in point mass balances. To test this model, we selected four glaciers in different climatic regimes (France, Bolivia, India, and Norway) for which detailed point annual mass balance measurements were available over a large elevation range. The model extracted a robust and consistent signal for each glacier. We obtained explained variances of 87.5, 90.2, 91.3, and 75.5% on Argentière, Zongo, Chhota Shigri, and Nigardsbreen glaciers, respectively. The standard deviations of the model residuals are close to measurement uncertainties. The model can also be used to detect measurement errors. Combined with geodetic data, this method can provide a consistent glacier‐wide annual mass balance series from a heterogeneous network. This model, available to the whole community, can be used to assess the impact of climate change in different regions of the world from long‐term mass balance series. </abstract> </span> <span class="z_kbtn z_kbtnclass hoverxs" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> <div class="translation abstracttxt"> <span class="zhankaihshouqi fivelineshidden" id="abstract"> <span>机译：</span><Abstract Type =“Main”XML：Lang =“en”> <标题类型=“main”>抽象</ title> >冰川质量余额的变化对于调查气候变化至关重要。然而，从大地测量观测确定的冰川范围内的余额不提供相关的气候信号，因为它们取决于冰川的动态响应。在原位点质量平衡测量提供直接信号，但显示出强烈的空间变量，难以在几十年内从异均匀的异质测量评估。为了解决这个问题，我们提出了一个非线性统计模型，考虑到点质量余额的空间和时间变化。为了测试此模型，我们在不同的气候制度（法国，玻利维亚，印度和挪威）中选择了四个冰川，其详细点每年质量平衡测量都在大型海拔范围内提供。该模型提取了每个冰川的稳健和一致的信号。我们在Argentière，zongo，chhota shigri和Nigardsbreen冰川中解释了87.5％，90.2,91.3和75.5％的差异。模型残差的标准偏差接近测量不确定性。该模型还可用于检测测量误差。结合大地测量数据，该方法可以提供来自异构网络的一致冰川年度大幅度平衡系列。该模型可用于整个社区，可用于评估世界各地的气候变化从长期质量平衡系列的影响。</ p> </ abstract> </span> <span class="z_kbtn z_kbtnclass hoverxs" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> </div> <div class="record"> <h2 class="all_title" id="enpatent33" >著录项</h2> <ul> <li> <span class="lefttit">来源</span> <div style="width: 86%;vertical-align: text-top;display: inline-block;"> <a href='/journal-foreign-34664/'>《Journal of geophysical research. Earth Surface: JGR》</a> <b style="margin: 0 2px;">|</b><span>2018年第9期</span><b style="margin: 0 2px;">|</b><span>共15页</span> </div> </li> <li> <div class="author"> <span class="lefttit">作者</span> <p id="fAuthorthree" class="threelineshidden zhankaihshouqi"> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Vincent C.&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Vincent C.;</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Soruco A.&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Soruco A.;</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Azam M. F.&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Azam M. F.;</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Basantes‐Serrano R.&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Basantes‐Serrano R.;</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Jackson M.&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Jackson M.;</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Kj?llmoen B.&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Kj?llmoen B.;</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Thibert E.&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Thibert E.;</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Wagnon P.&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Wagnon P.;</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Six D.&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Six D.;</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Rabatel A.&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Rabatel A.;</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Ramanathan A.&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Ramanathan A.;</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Berthier E.&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Berthier E.;</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Cusicanqui D.&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Cusicanqui D.;</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Vincent P.&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Vincent P.;</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Mandal A.&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Mandal A.;</a> </p> <span class="z_kbtnclass z_kbtnclassall hoverxs" id="zkzz" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> </li> <li> <div style="display: flex;"> <span class="lefttit">作者单位</span> <div style="position: relative;margin-left: 3px;max-width: 639px;"> <div class="threelineshidden zhankaihshouqi" id="fOrgthree"> <p>University Grenoble Alpes CNRS IRD Grenoble INP IGEGrenoble France;</p> <p>Instituto de Investigaciones Geológicas y del Medio Ambiente (IGEMA) UMSALa Paz Bolivia;</p> <p>Discipline of Civil EngineeringIndian Institute of TechnologyIndore India;</p> <p>Centro de Estudios CientíficosValdivia Chile;</p> <p>Section for Glaciers Ice and SnowNorwegianWater Resources and Energy DirectorateOslo Norway;</p> <p>Section for Glaciers Ice and SnowNorwegianWater Resources and Energy DirectorateOslo Norway;</p> <p>Irstea UR ETGRUniversité Grenoble AlpesSt‐ Martin d'Hères France;</p> <p>University Grenoble Alpes CNRS IRD Grenoble INP IGEGrenoble France;</p> <p>University Grenoble Alpes CNRS IRD Grenoble INP IGEGrenoble France;</p> <p>University Grenoble Alpes CNRS IRD Grenoble INP IGEGrenoble France;</p> <p>School of Environmental SciencesJawaharlal Nehru UniversityNew Delhi India;</p> <p>LEGOSUniversité de Toulouse CNES CNRS IRD UPSToulouse France;</p> <p>Instituto de Investigaciones Geológicas y del Medio Ambiente (IGEMA) UMSALa Paz Bolivia;</p> <p>University Grenoble Alpes CNRS IRD Grenoble INP IGEGrenoble France;</p> <p>School of Environmental SciencesJawaharlal Nehru UniversityNew Delhi India;</p> </div> <span class="z_kbtnclass z_kbtnclassall hoverxs" id="zhdw" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> </div> </li> <li > <span class="lefttit">收录信息</span> <span style="width: 86%;vertical-align: text-top;display: inline-block;"></span> </li> <li> <span class="lefttit">原文格式</span> <span>PDF</span> </li> <li> <span class="lefttit">正文语种</span> <span>eng</span> </li> <li> <span class="lefttit">中图分类</span> <span>TP79:P3; </span> </li> <li class="antistop"> <span class="lefttit">关键词</span> <p style="width: 86%;vertical-align: text-top;"> </p> </li> <li> <span class="lefttit">入库时间</span> <span>2022-08-20 09:23:30</span> </li> </ul> </div> </div> <div class="literature cardcommon"> <div class="similarity "> <h3 class="all_title" id="enpatent66">相似文献</h3> <div class="similaritytab clearfix"> <ul> <li class="active" >外文文献</li> <li >中文文献</li> <li >专利</li> </ul> </div> <div class="similarity_details"> <ul > <li> <div> <b>1. </b><a class="enjiyixqcontent" href="/journal-foreign-detail/0704025586633.html">A Nonlinear Statistical Model for Extracting a Climatic Signal From Glacier Mass Balance Measurements</a> <b>[J]</b> . <span> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Vincent C.&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="tuijian_auth tuijian_authcolor">Vincent C.,</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Soruco A.&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow" class="tuijian_auth tuijian_authcolor">Soruco A.,</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Azam M. 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