Relative Sea Level, Tides, and Extreme Water Levels in Boston Harbor From 1825 to 2018

Talke S. A.; Kemp A. C.; Woodruff J.

摘要

Abstract > Using newly‐discovered archival measurements, we construct an instrumental record of water levels and storm tides in Boston (MA) since 1825. After ascertaining the 19th century datum and correcting for a 0–0.03 m bias in the modern tide‐gauge record, we show that local, decadally‐averaged relative sea level (RSL) rose by 0.28?±?0.05 m since 1826, with an acceleration of 0.023?±?0.009 mm/yr 2 . Tide range decreased by 5.5% between 1830 and 1910, due in large part to dredging and filling of Boston Harbor, and trended slightly upward thereafter. An evaluation of storm events since 1825 suggests that trends in flood risk are driven by RSL rise, with a small contribution by tidal trends. Sea‐level rise also interacts with the 18.6 year nodal cycle in tide amplitudes to produce decadal fluctuations in hazard. Conditional sampling of the 1825–2018 record shows that storm tides with a 0.01–0.5 annual probability (100 and 2 year events) are 0.1–0.2 m larger during periods with above‐average tidal amplitudes. Similarly, the once‐in‐25 year event during elevated tidal forcing becomes a once‐in‐100 year event during periods of reduced tides. A plurality of historic flood events—including floods in 1851, 1978, and 2018—occurred near the peak of the tidal nodal cycle. Projections to the year 2100 suggest that decadal fluctuations in tide characteristics will interact with relative sea‐level rise to produce a fluctuating hazard over time, with periods of relative stationarity (e.g., the 2020s) bracketed by relatively abrupt increases in flood hazard (the early 2030s). </abstract> </span> <span class="z_kbtn z_kbtnclass hoverxs" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> <div class="translation abstracttxt"> <span class="zhankaihshouqi fivelineshidden" id="abstract"> <span>机译：</span><Abstract Type =“main”> <标题类型=“main”>抽象</ title> >使用新发现的档案测量，我们自1825年以来建设了波士顿（MA）中的水位和风暴潮汐的乐器记录。在确定19世纪的基准和校正现代潮汐仪表中的0-0.03米偏差后，我们表明本地，圆田平均相对海平面（RSL）上升0.28°（RSL）自1826年以来±0.05米，有一个加速0.023？±0.009 mm / Yr 2 </ sup>。潮汐范围在1830年至1910年之间减少了5.5％，这是由于疏浚和填充波士顿港口，此后略微向上趋于趋于趋于趋于越来越大。自1825年以来的风暴事件评估表明，洪水风险的趋势由RSL上升驱动，潮汐趋势具有较小的贡献。海平面上升也与潮幅度的18.6年的节点周期相互作用，以产生危害的截止波动。 1825-2018记录的条件抽样表明，在普通突出幅度上方的期间，风暴潮汐潮0.01-0.5年度概率（100和2年事件）为0.1-0.2米。同样，在潮流期间的次级25年内发生的事件成为减少潮汐期间的一次100年度活动。多个历史洪水事件 - 包括1851年，1978年和2018年的洪水 - 发生在潮汐节点周期的峰值附近。预测2100建议潮汐特征中的二数波动将与相对海平面上升相互作用，以产生波动的危险，而相对的平静性（例如，2020年）相对突然增加的洪水危险（早期） 2030年代）。 </ p> </ abstract> </span> <span class="z_kbtn z_kbtnclass hoverxs" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> </div> <div class="record"> <h2 class="all_title" id="enpatent33" >著录项</h2> <ul> <li> <span class="lefttit">来源</span> <div style="width: 86%;vertical-align: text-top;display: inline-block;"> <a href='/journal-foreign-34643/'>《Journal of Geophysical Research, C. Oceans: JGR》</a> <b style="margin: 0 2px;">|</b><span>2018年第6期</span><b style="margin: 0 2px;">|</b><span>共20页</span> </div> </li> <li> <div class="author"> <span class="lefttit">作者</span> <p id="fAuthorthree" class="threelineshidden zhankaihshouqi"> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Talke S. A.&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Talke S. A.;</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Kemp A. C.&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Kemp A. C.;</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Woodruff J.&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Woodruff J.;</a> </p> <span class="z_kbtnclass z_kbtnclassall hoverxs" id="zkzz" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> </li> <li> <div style="display: flex;"> <span class="lefttit">作者单位</span> <div style="position: relative;margin-left: 3px;max-width: 639px;"> <div class="threelineshidden zhankaihshouqi" id="fOrgthree"> <p>Department of Civil and Environmental EngineeringPortland State UniversityPortland OR USA;</p> <p>Department of Earth and Ocean SciencesTufts UniversityMedford MA USA;</p> <p>Department of GeosciencesUniversity of MassachusettsAmherst MA USA;</p> </div> <span class="z_kbtnclass z_kbtnclassall hoverxs" id="zhdw" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> </div> </li> <li > <span class="lefttit">收录信息</span> <span style="width: 86%;vertical-align: text-top;display: inline-block;"></span> </li> <li> <span class="lefttit">原文格式</span> <span>PDF</span> </li> <li> <span class="lefttit">正文语种</span> <span>eng</span> </li> <li> <span class="lefttit">中图分类</span> <span><a href="https://www.zhangqiaokeyan.com/clc/163.html" title="地球物理学">地球物理学;</a></span> </li> <li class="antistop"> <span class="lefttit">关键词</span> <p style="width: 86%;vertical-align: text-top;"> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=sea level rise&option=203" rel="nofollow">sea level rise;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=tides&option=203" rel="nofollow">tides;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=storm surge&option=203" rel="nofollow">storm surge;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=extreme events&option=203" rel="nofollow">extreme events;</a> </p> <div class="translation"> 机译：海平面上升;潮汐;风暴浪涌;极端事件; </div> </li> </ul> </div> </div> <div class="literature cardcommon"> <div class="similarity "> <h3 class="all_title" id="enpatent66">相似文献</h3> <div class="similaritytab clearfix"> <ul> <li class="active" >外文文献</li> <li >中文文献</li> <li >专利</li> </ul> </div> <div class="similarity_details"> <ul > <li> <div> <b>1. </b><a class="enjiyixqcontent" href="/journal-foreign-detail/0704025579152.html">Relative Sea Level, Tides, and Extreme Water Levels in Boston Harbor From 1825 to 2018</a> <b>[J]</b> . <span> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Talke S. 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or at ground level with tunnel integrated large scale aqueduct with numerous functions, with main function to divert flood water or river water away from cities in order to fight or mitigate flood events and effect of global warming, with discharge invert levels to the sea higher than high tide levels</a> <b>[P]</b> . <span> 外国专利：  AU2018375503A1 </span> <span> . 2020-06-11</span> </div> <p class="zwjiyix translation" style="max-width: initial;height: auto;word-break: break-all;white-space: initial;text-overflow: initial;overflow: initial;"> <span>机译：使用高架或地面高架隧道或大型功能的渡槽进行快速防洪工程，其主要功能是将洪水或河水从城市转移出去，以抗击或减轻洪水事件和全球变暖的影响，并具有排放功能向海面倒转高于涨潮 </span> </p> </li> </ul> </div> </div> </div> <div class="theme cardcommon" style="overflow: auto;display:none"> <h3 class="all_title" id="enpatent55">相关主题</h3> <ul id="subject"> </ul> </div> </div> </div> </div> <div class="right rightcon"> <div class="details_img cardcommon clearfix" style="margin-bottom: 10px;display:none;" > </div> </div> </div> <div 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