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Global trends in fibre prices, production and consumption

机译:纤维价格的全球趋势,生产和消费

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World production of man-made fibres rose to 68.0 mn tons in 2017, and the growth rate, at 3.7%, was slightly faster than the 3.6% increase achieved in the previous year. Not surprisingly, the rise in 2017 was sustained mostly by growth in China—the world's largest producer of man-made fibres—and to a lesser extent by growth in India. Synthetic fibres accounted for most of the increase in global man-made fibre production, and most of the increase in synthetic fibre production was due to growth in polyester fibre. But cellulosic fibre production was also up, by 2.6%.Production of natural fibres rose by 10.0% in 2017—following a 6.6% rise in 2016—as a result of a 10.6% increase in cotton fibre production. The increase in 2017 came after a 7.0%> hike in 2016, and the two increases reflected a switch by growers to cotton from alternative crops as a result of a recovery of the cotton price from a trough in 2015 to the mid-80s US cents/lb range in 2017. The wool clip also rose, but by only 0.3%. Nevertheless, as a result of the increase in cotton production, the share of natural fibres in total fibre production rose from 27.1%> to 28.3%.In the 2017/18 season (August 1, 2017-July 31, 2018), demand for cotton fibre is set to rise by 3.6%, according to the International Cotton Advisory Committee (ICAC). This rise will be stronger than in the previous season as global economic growth picks up and prices of substitute fibres increase, thereby making the price of cotton more competitive. However, production of cotton will rise by a faster 11.2%o, supply will exceed demand and stock levels will rise. But the rise in stocks will be small and therefore any downward pressure on prices will continue to be limited. According to the ICAC, the cotton price will average 83 US cents/lb in 2017/18—the same as in 2016/17. However, some slight upward pressure on the cotton price is likely thereafter, resulting in a slightly higher average for the 2018/19 season.
机译:2017年世界制造人造纤维上涨至68.0毫升,增长率为3.7%,比上一年所取得的3.6%略高于3.6%。毫不奇怪,2017年的崛起主要受中国 - 世界上最大的人造纤维生产商的增长 - 并在印度增长较小。合成纤维占全球人为纤维生产的大部分增加,而且大部分的合成纤维生产增加是由于聚酯纤维的生长。但纤维素纤维生产也上升,但2017年,自然纤维的生产增加了10.0% - 2016年的6.6% - 棉纤维生产增加10.6%。 2016年越来越多的2017年涨幅于2016年徒​​步旅行,而这两者增加了从替代作物的种植者对棉花的影响,由于2015年棉花价格从2015年到80年代中期的棉花价格恢复/ LB范围在2017年。羊毛夹也上升,但仅为0.3%。尽管如此,由于棉花生产的增加,纤维产量总纤维的份额从27.1%上升到28.3%。在2017/18赛季(2018年8月1日至2018年7月31日),需求根据国际棉花咨询委员会(ICAC),棉纤维设定为上涨3.6%。随着全球经济增长的提升和替代纤维的价格增加,这一崛起比前季节更强,从而使棉花价格更具竞争力。然而,棉花的生产将升高11.2%O,供应量将超过需求,库存水平将上升。但股票的上涨将小,因此对价格的任何向下压力将继续受到限制。据廉政公署称,2017年/ 18年棉花价格将平均为83美元/ 18美元 - 与2016/17相同。然而,此后可能对棉花价格有一些轻微的向上压力,导致2018/19季节略高于平均水平。

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