The recent fall in oil prices and growing instability in the Middle East could cause a shortfall in upstream investment needed to meet long-term demand, the IEA warns. Upstream spending in excess of $900bn/yr is needed in the 2030s to meet that demand, with 80pc of that required just to maintain today’s production, according to the central new policies scenario of the IEA’s World Energy Outlook (WEO). The WEO assumes a rise in global oil consumption to 104mn b/d by 2040 from 90mn b/d last year.
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机译：IEA警告，最近在中东的油价下降和不稳定的不稳定可能导致缺乏符合长期需求的上游投资。 根据IEA世界能源前景（WEO）的中央新政策情景，2030年代需要超过900亿美元/年的上游支出，以满足这一需求，只需要维持当今的生产，以维持今天的生产。 WEO在去年的90mn B / D中，将全球石油消费量增长至1040万吨/平。
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