Stability Analysis of a Large Gold Mine Open-Pit Slope Using Advanced Probabilistic Method

摘要

A large gold reserve was recently discovered at Haveri district of Karnataka state of India where open-pit mining was planned to extract these deposits. Stability analysis for open-pit mine slope at this site is presented in the article. Extensive geological investigations and laboratory testing suggested high variability in geological features of discontinuities, rock mass quality and intact rock properties. Hence, it was decided to perform stability analysis of the rock slope using probabilistic approach along with deterministic approach. Deterministic analysis was carried out with average properties of rock, and reliability analysis of the rock slope was carried out using both traditional and advanced probabilistic methods. In traditional probabilistic method, rock mass strength properties were treated as random variables without considering spatial variation of rock properties and reliability index was evaluated by Monte Carlo (MC) simulation on augmented radial basis function-based response surface. In advanced probabilistic analysis, spatial variability of rock mass strength properties was considered by generating anisotropic random field using Fourier series method with spatial averaging over finite difference zones. Reliability index was then estimated by performing MC simulation using random finite difference method. A comparison was provided between the results of stability analysis of slope from all these approaches. Rock slope was found to be stable in both deterministic and probabilistic approaches; however, the degree of stability predicted was different for both methods. Deterministic approach was found to be inappropriate to analyse the stability of slope having rock mass with variable properties. Further, reliability index and expected performance level of slope were highly underestimated by traditional probabilistic method as compared to advanced probabilistic method.