Measurement of shock effect following change of one-child policy based on grey forecasting approach

Xie Naiming; Wang Ruizhi; Chen Nanlei

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Measurement of shock effect following change of one-child policy based on grey forecasting approach

机译：基于灰色预测方法的单子政策变化之后的冲击效果测量

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摘要

Purpose This paper aims to analyze general development trend of China's population and to forecast China's total population under the change of China's family planning policy so as to measure shock disturbance effects on China's population development.

机译：目的本文旨在分析中国人口的一般发展趋势，并在中国计划生育政策的变化下预测中国的总人口，以衡量对中国人口发展的冲击障碍。

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来源
《Kybernetes: The International Journal of Systems & Cybernetics》 |2018年第3期|共28页
作者
Xie Naiming; Wang Ruizhi; Chen Nanlei;
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作者单位

Nanjing Univ Aeronaut &

Astronaut Coll Econ &

Management Nanjing Jiangsu Peoples R China;

Nanjing Univ Aeronaut &

Astronaut Coll Econ &

Management Nanjing Jiangsu Peoples R China;

Nanjing Univ Aeronaut &

Astronaut Coll Econ &

Management Nanjing Jiangsu Peoples R China;

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原文格式 PDF
正文语种 eng
中图分类自动控制理论;
关键词
China; DGM (1; 1) model; Family planning; Grey forecast model; One-child policy; Population forecast;

机译：中国;DGM（1;1）模型;计划生育;灰色预测模型;单儿政策;人口预测;

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7. Combination of Forecast Methods Using Encompassing Tests: An Algorithm-Based Procedure ; For the revised version of this paper, see Working Paper 240, Economics Series, June 2009, which udincludes some changes. The most important change regards the reference of Kisinbay (2007), which was not reported in the previousudversion. The hierarchical procedure proposed in the paper is based on the approach of Kisinbay (2007), but some modifications of udthat approach are provided. [O] . Costantini Mauro, Pappalardo Carmine 2008

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Measurement of shock effect following change of one-child policy based on grey forecasting approach

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