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Predicting postmortem interval based on microbial community sequences and machine learning algorithms

机译:基于微生物群落序列和机器学习算法预测淘压间隔

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摘要

Microbes play an essential role in the decomposition process but were poorly understood in their succession and behaviour. Previous researches have shown that microbes show predictable behaviour that starts at death and changes during the decomposition process. Research of such behaviour enhances the understanding of decomposition and benefits estimating the postmortem interval (PMI) in forensic investigations, which is critical but faces multiple challenges. In this study, we combined microbial community characterization, microbiome sequencing from different organs (i.e. brain, heart and cecum) and machine learning algorithms [random forest (RF), support vector machine (SVM) and artificial neural network (ANN)] to investigate microbial succession pattern during corpse decomposition and estimate PMI in a mouse corpse system. Microbial communities exhibited significant differences between the death point and advanced decay stages. Enterococcus faecalis, Anaerosalibacter bizertensis, Lactobacillus reuteri, and so forth were identified as the most informative species in the decomposition process. Furthermore, the ANN model combined with the postmortem microbial data set from the cecum, which was the best combination among all candidates, yielded a mean absolute error of 1.5 +/- 0.8 h within 24-h decomposition and 14.5 +/- 4.4 h within 15-day decomposition. This integrated model can serve as a reliable and accurate technology in PMI estimation.
机译:微生物在分解过程中发挥重要作用,但在其继承和行为中被理解得很差。以前的研究表明,微生物显示出在分解过程中开始死亡和变化的可预测行为。这些行为的研究提高了对法医调查中估算后淘汰的淘点率间隔(PMI)的分解和益处的理解,这是至关重要的,但面临多种挑战。在这项研究中,我们组合微生物群落表征,从不同器官(即脑,心脏和盲肠)和机器学习算法[随机林(RF),支持向量机(SVM)和人工神经网络(ANN)]中的微生物组测序进行调查小鼠尸体系统中的尸体分解和估计PMI期间的微生物连续模式。微生物社区在死亡点和先进的衰减阶段之间表现出显着差异。肠球菌粪便,Anaerosibacter Bizertensis,乳酸杆菌毛茛等,等待分解过程中最具信息丰富的物种。此外,ANN模型与盲肠中的后胚胎微生物数据组合,这是所有候选者中最好的组合,在24小时分解中产生1.5 +/- 0.8小时的平均绝对误差,14.5 +/- 4.4小时内15天分解。该集成模型可以作为PMI估计中可靠和准确的技术。

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