Investigating the potential impacts of ocean warming on the Norwegian and Barents Seas ecosystem using a time-dynamic food-web model

摘要

Highlights ? We provide a data calibrated ecosystem model of the Norwegian and Barents Seas from 1950 to 2014. ? Past ecosystem trends driven by fishing, trophic interactions, primary production & temperature. ? Future ocean warming scenarios, from 2014 to 2100, are simulated using the calibrated model. ? Ocean warming threatens to significantly alter the ecosystems biomass composition. ? Boreal functional groups such as capelin decline whilst mackerel and small pelagic fish thrive. 展开▼