Monthly climate variation over Korea in relation to the two types of ENSO evolution

Yeo Sae‐Rim; Yeh Sang‐Wook; Kim Yoojin; Yim So‐Young

摘要

ABSTRACT >This study documents monthly temperature and precipitation anomalies over Korea during the different phases of El Ni?o‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO) for the two types of ENSO evolution. The evolution process of ENSO can be classified into two groups based on whether El Ni?o turns into La Ni?a in the subsequent year. The first group involves the transition process from El Ni?o to La Ni?a, while the second group shows the prolonged El Ni?o or neutral conditions after the mature phase of El Ni?o. Because the mid‐latitude atmospheric responses as well as the equatorial heating anomalies for the two groups of ENSO are different each other, the ENSO‐related climate variation over Korea are investigated separately for the two ENSO evolution groups. In particular, this study focuses on the entire monthly evolution of the temperature and precipitation over Korea during the different phases of ENSO. The statistically robust signals can be found in several particular months, which provides statistical basis for predicting monthly climate over Korea. In addition to the observational data analyses, we further investigate the forecast skill of the Asia‐Pacific Economic Cooperation Climate Center (APCC) Multi‐Model Ensemble (MME) in simulating two groups of ENSO evolution and their impacts on Korean climate. The result shows that the MME reasonably predicts the two different evolution of ENSO as in observation but their prediction skills for the ENSO‐related Korean climate are diverse, which largely depends on the phase of ENSO. </abstract> </span> <span class="z_kbtn z_kbtnclass hoverxs" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> <div class="translation abstracttxt"> <span class="zhankaihshouqi fivelineshidden" id="abstract"> <span>机译：</span><abstract xmlns =“http://www.wiley.com/namespaces/wiley”type =“main”> <title type =“main”>抽象</ title> >本研究记录每月温度和降水异常韩国在El Ni的不同阶段，两种类型的ENSO演化（ENSO）。 enso的演化过程可以根据El Ni吗？o在随后的一年进入La Ni吗？第一组涉及从El Ni的过渡过程到La Ni？a，而第二组在El Ni oth的成熟阶段之后显示延长的EL Ni？O或中性条件。因为中纬度大气反应以及两组ENSO的赤道加热异常彼此不同，所以对韩国的ENSO相关气候变化分别对两个ENSO进化组进行研究。特别是，本研究侧重于在恩索的不同阶段期间韩国温度和降水的整个月度演变。统计上稳健的信号可以在几个特定的月份找到，为预测韩国的每月气候提供统计依据。除了观察数据分析之外，我们还进一步调查了亚太经济合作气候中心（APCC）多模型集合（MME）的预测技能，模拟了两组ENSO进化及其对韩国气候的影响。结果表明，MME合理地预测了ENSO的两种不同演化，如观察中，但它们对ENSO相关的韩国气候的预测技能是多样的，这主要取决于ENSO的阶段。</ p> </摘要> </span> <span class="z_kbtn z_kbtnclass hoverxs" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> </div> <div class="record"> <h2 class="all_title" id="enpatent33" >著录项</h2> <ul> <li> <span class="lefttit">来源</span> <div style="width: 86%;vertical-align: text-top;display: inline-block;"> <a href='/journal-foreign-21026/'>《International Journal of Climatology: A Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society》</a> <b style="margin: 0 2px;">|</b><span>2018年第2期</span><b style="margin: 0 2px;">|</b><span>共14页</span> </div> </li> <li> <div class="author"> <span class="lefttit">作者</span> <p id="fAuthorthree" class="threelineshidden zhankaihshouqi"> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Yeo Sae‐Rim&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Yeo Sae‐Rim;</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Yeh Sang‐Wook&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Yeh Sang‐Wook;</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Kim Yoojin&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Kim Yoojin;</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Yim So‐Young&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Yim So‐Young;</a> </p> <span class="z_kbtnclass z_kbtnclassall hoverxs" id="zkzz" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> </li> <li> <div style="display: flex;"> <span class="lefttit">作者单位</span> <div style="position: relative;margin-left: 3px;max-width: 639px;"> <div class="threelineshidden zhankaihshouqi" id="fOrgthree"> <p>Climate Prediction TeamAPEC Climate CenterBusan Republic of Korea;</p> <p>Marine Sciences and Convergent Technology ERICAHanyang UniversityAnsan Republic of Korea;</p> <p>Climate Prediction TeamAPEC Climate CenterBusan Republic of Korea;</p> <p>Climate Prediction DivisionKorea Meteorological AdministrationSeoul Republic of Korea;</p> </div> <span class="z_kbtnclass z_kbtnclassall hoverxs" id="zhdw" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> </div> </li> <li > <span class="lefttit">收录信息</span> <span style="width: 86%;vertical-align: text-top;display: inline-block;"></span> </li> <li> <span class="lefttit">原文格式</span> <span>PDF</span> </li> <li> <span class="lefttit">正文语种</span> <span>eng</span> </li> <li> <span class="lefttit">中图分类</span> <span><a href="https://www.zhangqiaokeyan.com/clc/1232.html" title="气候学">气候学;</a></span> </li> <li class="antistop"> <span class="lefttit">关键词</span> <p style="width: 86%;vertical-align: text-top;"> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=ENSO evolution&option=203" rel="nofollow">ENSO evolution;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Korean climate&option=203" rel="nofollow">Korean climate;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=climate prediction&option=203" rel="nofollow">climate prediction;</a> </p> <div class="translation"> 机译：Enso Envolution;韩国气候;气候预测; 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