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In Defense of HARKing

机译:在防御黑鬼

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摘要

Science is a complex task. It involves the creation and dissemination of knowledge. The creation of knowledge requires identifying and abstracting patterns (i.e., identifying phenomena and theorizing about the processes that bring it about), as well as systematically observing to better see and quantify the patterns (e.g., effect size estimating) or assess the validity of the abstractions used to explain the patterns (i.e., theory testing). To help (a) hone in on what observations would be useful and (b) communicate what the patterns mean, we are encouraged to develop and report hypotheses. That is, strategically, hypotheses facilitate the planning of data collection by helping the researcher understand what patterns need to be observed to assess the merit of an explanation. Meanwhile, tactically, hypotheses help focus the audience on the crucial patterns needed to answer a question or test a theory. When the strategic hypotheses are not supported, it raises a question regarding what to do tactically. Depending on the result (i.e., different direction; null), one might construct a hypothesis to facilitate dissemination without reporting this post hoc construction or remove mention of a hypothesis altogether. This practice is called HARKing (i.e., hypothesizing after results are known). HARKing has been so disparaged as to be considered a “detrimental research practice” (Grand et al., 2018, p. 6). As such, the Society for Industrial and Organizational Psychology's (SIOP) Robust and Reliability Science task force appears to be recommending that HARKing not be taught by educators, encouraged by reviewers or editors, or practiced by authors. I do not agree with those recommendations, and I elaborate on my position below.
机译:科学是一个复杂的任务。它涉及创造和传播知识。知识的创建需要识别和抽象模式(即,识别现象和理论上关于带来的过程,以及系统地观察以更好地看到和量化模式(例如,效果大小估计)或评估的有效性抽象用于解释模式(即理论测试)。为了帮助(a)磨练,观察是有用的,(b)沟通模式的意思是什么,我们鼓励我们开发和报告假设。也就是说,战略性地,假设通过帮助研究人员了解需要观察到哪些模式来评估解释的优点来促进数据收集的规划。同时,战术上,假设有助于将观众聚焦在回答问题或测试理论所需的关键模式上。当不支持战略假设时,它提出了关于如何进行战术做的问题。取决于结果(即,不同的方向; NULL),一个人可能会构建一个假设,以便于传播而不报告该哨所构建或完全删除提及假设。这种做法被称为Harking(即,在结果后假设化)。被认为是被认为是“有害的研究实践”(Grand等,2018,第6页)如此贬低。因此,工业和组织心理学协会(SIOP)强大和可靠性科学工作组似乎推荐审阅者或编辑鼓励,或由作者练习而非教育者授予Harking。我不同意这些建议,我详细说明了我的立场。

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