Modeling and performance evaluation of wind turbine based on ant colony optimization-extreme learning machine

摘要

In this paper, an innovative hybrid multi-variable generator's actual-output-power predicting model is proposed based on ant colony optimization algorithm and extreme learning machine network, and a data-driven performance evaluation model is presented based on the two indices, K-means clustering algorithm and Markov chain for the performance evaluation of the wind turbines. Ant colony optimization algorithm is used to optimize the initial weights and thresholds of the extreme learning machine network, then the optimized combinations of weights and thresholds are provided into the extreme learning machine models to overcome the sensitivity problem of initialization setting and the disadvantage of easily falling into local optimum. Through the actual-output-power prediction of the WTs in a wind farm, the results show that the proposed model has more higher prediction accuracy than other methods mentioned in this paper. The optimization process also shows that the prediction accuracy is sensitive to the number of hidden-layer nodes and is relatively insensitive to other model parameters. Then, the data-driven performance evaluation models are proposed based on the error sequences obtained above. The case study is conducted and the results show that the method can evaluate the operating performance of the wind turbines correctly. The effectiveness of the evaluation results is also verified by the actual operation results. (C) 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.