Wheat and maize yield forecasting for the Tisza river catchment using MODIS NDVI time series and reported crop statistics

摘要

Stakeholders, policy makers, government planners and agricultural market participants in Central Eastern Europe require accurate and timely information about wheat and maize yield and production. The study site, the lowlands (altitude below 200 m) of the Tisza river catchment is by far the most important wheat and corn producing region in the Carpathian basin, and even in Central Eastern Europe. The conventional sampling of on field data and data processing for crop forecasting requires significant amounts of time before official reports can be released. Several studies have shown that wheat and maize yield can be effectively forecast using satellite remote sensing. In this study, a freely available MODIS NDVI satellite data based wheat and maize yield forecasting methodology was developed and evaluated for estimating yield losses effected by drought.