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Biofuel energy consumption-economic growth relationship: an empirical investigation of Brazil

机译:生物燃料能源消费 - 经济增长关系:对巴西的实证调查

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This study investigates the influence of biofuel energy consumption on Brazil's economic growth during the period 1980-2012 by employing the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach and the vector error correction model (VECM) Granger causality. The results revealed two structural breaks during the early 1980s due to the Latin American debt crisis as well as the early 2000s due to the worries related to the increasing global spreads. Moreover, it was found that economic growth, biofuel energy consumption, capital, urbanization, and globalization are co-integrated. Additionally, it was found that biofuel energy consumption, capital, urbanization, and globalization increase Brazil's economic growth in the short run and in the long run. However, the two structural breaks have a significant negative influence on economic growth. The vector error correction model Granger causality revealed a feedback causal relationship between all the variables (with the exception of capital). However, a unidirectional causality was concluded from capital to economic growth, biofuel energy consumption, urbanization, and globalization. From the results of this study, a number of policy implications were provided. (c) 2016 Society of Chemical Industry and John Wiley & Sons, Ltd
机译:本研究通过采用自回归分布滞后(ARDL)方法和向量误差校正模型(VECM)格兰杰因果关系来调查生物燃料能量消耗对巴西的经济增长的影响。由于拉丁美洲债务危机以及2000年代初,因此由于拉丁美洲债务危机初期,这一结果揭示了两个结构突破,因为与全球日益增长的蔓延有关。此外,有人发现经济增长,生物燃料能源消耗,资本,城市化和全球化都是共同整合的。此外,有人发现,生物燃料能源消耗,资本,城市化和全球化增加了巴西在短期内和长期的经济增长。然而,两种结构突破对经济增长具有显着的负面影响。向量纠错模型Granger因果关系显示所有变量之间的反馈因果关系(除了大写之外)。然而,从资本到经济增长,生物燃料能耗,城市化和全球化结束了单向因果关系。从本研究的结果,提供了许多政策影响。 (c)2016化学工业协会和约翰瓦里和儿子有限公司

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