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Phase space reconstruction for non-uniformly sampled noisy time series

机译:非均匀采样嘈杂时间序列的相空间重建

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摘要

Analyzing data from paleoclimate archives such as tree rings or lake sediments offers the opportunity of inferring information on past climate variability. Often, such data sets are univariate and a proper reconstruction of the system's higher-dimensional phase space can be crucial for further analyses. In this study, we systematically compare the methods of time delay embedding and differential embedding for phase space reconstruction. Differential embedding relates the system's higher-dimensional coordinates to the derivatives of the measured time series. For implementation, this requires robust and efficient algorithms to estimate derivatives from noisy and possibly non-uniformly sampled data. For this purpose, we consider several approaches: (i) central differences adapted to irregular sampling, (ii) a generalized version of discrete Legendre coordinates, and (iii) the concept of Moving Taylor Bayesian Regression. We evaluate the performance of differential and time delay embedding by studying two paradigmatic model systems-the Lorenz and the Rossler system. More precisely, we compare geometric properties of the reconstructed attractors to those of the original attractors by applying recurrence network analysis. Finally, we demonstrate the potential and the limitations of using the different phase space reconstruction methods in combination with windowed recurrence network analysis for inferring information about past climate variability. This is done by analyzing two well-studied paleoclimate data sets from Ecuador and Mexico. We find that studying the robustness of the results when varying the analysis parameters is an unavoidable step in order to make well-grounded statements on climate variability and to judge whether a data set is suitable for this kind of analysis. Published by AIP Publishing.
机译:分析树圈或湖泊沉积物等古古代档案中的数据提供了推断过去气候变异性的信息的机会。通常,这种数据集是单变量的,并且对系统的高尺寸相空间的适当重建对于进一步分析至关重要。在本研究中,我们系统地比较了嵌入时间延迟嵌入和差分嵌入的相位空间重建方法。差分嵌入将系统的高维坐标涉及测量时间序列的衍生物。为了实现,这需要强大而有效的算法来估计来自噪声的衍生品,并且可能是不均匀的采样数据。为此目的,我们考虑了几种方法:(i)适应不规则采样的中央差异,(ii)离散传说中的广义版本,和(iii)移动泰勒贝雷斯人回归的概念。我们通过研究两个范式模型系统 - 洛伦兹和罗德勒系统来评估差分和时间延迟嵌入的性能。更确切地说,我们通过应用复发网络分析将重建的吸引子的几何属性与原始吸引子的几何特性进行比较。最后,我们展示了使用不同相位空间重建方法与窗口复发网络分析结合使用不同相位空间重建方法的潜在和限制,以推断出关于过去气候变化的信息。这是通过分析来自厄瓜多尔和墨西哥的两个学习的古古怪数据集。我们发现在改变分析参数时,研究结果的稳健性是一种不可避免的步骤,以便在气候变异性上进行良好接地的陈述,并判断数据集是否适合这种分析。通过AIP发布发布。

著录项

  • 来源
    《Chaos》 |2018年第1期|共12页
  • 作者单位

    Potsdam Inst Climate Impact Res D-14473 Potsdam Germany;

    Potsdam Inst Climate Impact Res D-14473 Potsdam Germany;

  • 收录信息
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类 自然科学总论;
  • 关键词

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