Studentized U-quantile processes under dependence with applications to change-point analysis

摘要

Many popular robust estimators are U-quantiles, most notably the Hodges-Lehmann location estimator and the Q(n) scale estimator. We prove a functional central limit theorem for the U-quantile process without any moment assumptions and under weak short-range dependence conditions. We further devise an estimator for the long-run variance and show its consistency, from which the convergence of the studentized version of the U-quantile process to a standard Brownian motion follows. This result can be used to construct CUSUM-type change-point tests based on U-quantiles, which do not rely on bootstrapping procedures. We demonstrate this approach in detail with the example of the Hodges-Lehmann estimator for robustly detecting changes in the central location. A simulation study confirms the very good efficiency and robustness properties of the test. Two real-life data sets are analyzed.