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What do mathematical models tell us about the emergence and spread of drug-resistant HIV?

机译:关于耐药性HIV的出现和传播,数学模型告诉我们什么?

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摘要

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: To discuss recent HIV epidemic models examining the transmission of antiretroviral (ARV) drug resistance. RECENT FINDINGS: A relatively small number of recent transmission models have investigated ARV resistance in the context of therapeutic, combined ART (cART); ARV-vaginal microbicides (ARV-VMB); and oral pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP). Models of cART use have highlighted potential concerns about future resistance transmission, particularly in resource-constrained settings, and have emphasized the benefits of viral load monitoring in limiting resistance spread. PrEP models have concluded that inadvertent use by HIV-infected individuals could increase resistance prevalence, and that risk compensation by PrEP users could limit their beneficial effects on HIV transmission. ARV-VMB models have demonstrated that whereas resistance can reduce prophylactic effectiveness in preventing HIV acquisition of female ARV-VMB users, it may concomitantly benefit users' male partners if the resistant strains that female users acquire are less transmissible than wild-type strains. The models have examined the balance between these two factors at the population level. SUMMARY: Recent HIV transmission models have adopted a wide assortment of structures and assumptions to explore drug resistance in the context of different ARV interventions in various settings. There is a need for future work emphasizing the simultaneous effects of multiple ARV interventions, as well as the public health impact of resistance, not just its prevalence.
机译:审查目的:讨论检查抗逆转录病毒(ARV)耐药性传播的最新艾滋病毒流行模型。最近的发现:相对较少的近期传播模型已经在治疗性联合抗逆转录病毒疗法(cART)的背景下研究了抗逆转录病毒药物的耐药性。 ARV阴道杀菌剂(ARV-VMB);和口服暴露前预防(PrEP)。使用cART的模型强调了对未来耐药性传播的潜在担忧,尤其是在资源有限的环境中,并且强调了病毒载量监测在限制耐药性扩散方面的优势。 PrEP模型得出的结论是,艾滋病毒感染者的无意使用可能会增加耐药率,而PrEP使用者的风险补偿可能会限制他们对HIV传播的有益影响。 ARV-VMB模型表明,尽管抗药性会降低预防女性ARV-VMB使用者获得HIV的预防效果,但如果女性使用者获得的抗性菌株比野生型菌株的传播性差,它可能同时使使用者的男性伴侣受益。这些模型在人口水平上检查了这两个因素之间的平衡。简介:最近的HIV传播模型采用了各种各样的结构和假设,以探索在各种情况下采取不同的ARV干预的情况下的耐药性。有必要在未来的工作中强调多种抗逆转录病毒药物干预措施的同时作用,以及耐药性的公共健康影响,而不仅仅是其流行程度。

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