Continuously amplified warming in the Alaskan Arctic: Implications for estimating global warming hiatus

Wang Kang; Zhang Tingjun; Zhang Xiangdong; Clow Gary D.; Jafarov Elchin E.; Overeem Irina; Romanovsky Vladimir; Peng Xiaoqing; Cao Bin

摘要

Abstract >Historically, in situ measurements have been notoriously sparse over the Arctic. As a consequence, the existing gridded data of surface air temperature (SAT) may have large biases in estimating the warming trend in this region. Using data from an expanded monitoring network with 31 stations in the Alaskan Arctic, we demonstrate that the SAT has increased by 2.19°C in this region, or at a rate of 0.23°C/decade during 1921–2015. Meanwhile, we found that the SAT warmed at 0.71°C/decade over 1998–2015, which is 2 to 3 times faster than the rate established from the gridded data sets. Focusing on the “hiatus” period 1998–2012 as identified by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) report, the SAT has increased at 0.45°C/decade, which captures more than 90% of the regional trend for 1951–2012. We suggest that sparse in situ measurements are responsible for underestimation of the SAT change in the gridded data sets. It is likely that enhanced climate warming may also have happened in the other regions of the Arctic since the late 1990s but left undetected because of incomplete observational coverage. </abstract> </span> <span class="z_kbtn z_kbtnclass hoverxs" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> <div class="translation abstracttxt"> <span class="zhankaihshouqi fivelineshidden" id="abstract"> <span>机译：</span><Abstract Type =“Main”XML：ID =“Grl56363-Abs-abs-0001”> <标题类型=“main”>历史上，原位测量在北极臭名昭着的速度。结果，表面空气温度（SAT）的现有网格数据可能具有大的偏差估计该区域的变暖趋势。使用来自Alaskan北极的31个站的扩展监测网络中的数据证明，在该区域中，SAT在1921-2015期间以0.23°C /十年的速度增加了2.19°C。同时，我们发现，在1998 - 2015年的0.71°C /十年中，坐骑在1998 - 2015年的0.71°C /十年，比从网格数据集建立的速率快2到3倍。专注于1998 - 2012年“内部国家”期间的气候变化（IPCC）报告所识别，六十六年增长了0.45°C /十年，占1951 - 2012年的90％以上的区域趋势。我们建议在原位测量中稀疏负责低估网格数据集的SAT变化。自20世纪90年代后期以来，北极地区的其他地区也可能发生增强的气候变暖，而是由于观察覆盖率不完整而未被发现。</ p> </摘要> </span> <span class="z_kbtn z_kbtnclass hoverxs" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> </div> <div class="record"> <h2 class="all_title" id="enpatent33" >著录项</h2> <ul> <li> <span class="lefttit">来源</span> <div style="width: 86%;vertical-align: text-top;display: inline-block;"> <a href='/journal-foreign-23539/'>《Geophysical Research Letters》</a> <b style="margin: 0 2px;">|</b><span>2017年第17期</span><b style="margin: 0 2px;">|</b><span>共10页</span> </div> </li> <li> <div class="author"> <span class="lefttit">作者</span> <p id="fAuthorthree" class="threelineshidden zhankaihshouqi"> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Wang Kang&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Wang Kang;</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Zhang Tingjun&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Zhang Tingjun;</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Zhang Xiangdong&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Zhang Xiangdong;</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Clow Gary D.&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Clow Gary D.;</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Jafarov Elchin E.&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Jafarov Elchin E.;</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Overeem Irina&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Overeem Irina;</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Romanovsky Vladimir&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Romanovsky Vladimir;</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Peng Xiaoqing&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Peng Xiaoqing;</a> <a href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Cao Bin&option=202" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Cao Bin;</a> </p> <span class="z_kbtnclass z_kbtnclassall hoverxs" id="zkzz" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> </li> <li> <div style="display: flex;"> <span class="lefttit">作者单位</span> <div style="position: relative;margin-left: 3px;max-width: 639px;"> <div class="threelineshidden zhankaihshouqi" id="fOrgthree"> <p>Institute of Arctic and Alpine ResearchUniversity of Colorado BoulderBoulder Colorado USA;</p> <p>Key Laboratory of Western China's Environmental Systems (Ministry of Education) College of Earth and Environmental SciencesLanzhou UniversityLanzhou China;</p> <p>International Arctic Research Center and Department of Atmospheric SciencesUniversity of Alaska FairbanksFairbanks Alaska USA;</p> <p>Institute of Arctic and Alpine ResearchUniversity of Colorado BoulderBoulder Colorado USA;</p> <p>Los Alamos National LaboratoryLos Alamos New Mexico USA;</p> <p>Institute of Arctic and Alpine ResearchUniversity of Colorado BoulderBoulder Colorado USA;</p> <p>Permafrost Laboratory Geophysical InstituteUniversity of Alaska FairbanksFairbanks Alaska USA;</p> <p>Key Laboratory of Western China's Environmental Systems (Ministry of Education) College of Earth and Environmental SciencesLanzhou UniversityLanzhou China;</p> <p>Key Laboratory of Western China's Environmental Systems (Ministry of Education) College of Earth and Environmental SciencesLanzhou UniversityLanzhou China;</p> </div> <span class="z_kbtnclass z_kbtnclassall hoverxs" id="zhdw" style="display: none;">展开▼</span> </div> </div> </li> <li > <span class="lefttit">收录信息</span> <span style="width: 86%;vertical-align: text-top;display: inline-block;"></span> </li> <li> <span class="lefttit">原文格式</span> <span>PDF</span> </li> <li> <span class="lefttit">正文语种</span> <span>eng</span> </li> <li> <span class="lefttit">中图分类</span> <span><a href="https://www.zhangqiaokeyan.com/clc/163.html" title="地球物理学">地球物理学;</a></span> </li> <li class="antistop"> <span class="lefttit">关键词</span> <p style="width: 86%;vertical-align: text-top;"> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=warming&option=203" rel="nofollow">warming;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=spatial coverage&option=203" rel="nofollow">spatial coverage;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=bias&option=203" rel="nofollow">bias;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=hiatus&option=203" rel="nofollow">hiatus;</a> <a style="color: #3E7FEB;" href="/search.html?doctypes=4_5_6_1-0_4-0_1_2_3_7_9&sertext=Alaskan Arctic&option=203" rel="nofollow">Alaskan Arctic;</a> </p> <div class="translation"> 机译：变暖;空间覆盖;偏见;中断;阿拉斯加北极; </div> </li> </ul> </div> </div> <div class="literature cardcommon"> <div class="similarity "> <h3 class="all_title" id="enpatent66">相似文献</h3> <div class="similaritytab clearfix"> <ul> <li class="active" >外文文献</li> <li >中文文献</li> <li >专利</li> </ul> </div> <div class="similarity_details"> <ul > <li> <div> <b>1. </b><a class="enjiyixqcontent" href="/academic-journal-cn_atmospheric-oceanic-science-letters_thesis/0201288756327.html">协调大集合模拟下全球海表面温度对北极对流层早冬增暖的影响</a> <b>[J]</b> . <span> <a 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href="/patent-detail/06120106149948.html">建筑物影响估计装置及建筑物影响估计方法</a> <b>[P]</b> . <span> 中国专利： CN101923118A </span> <span> . 2010-12-22</span> </div> </li> <li> <div> <b>3. </b><a class="enjiyixqcontent" href="/patent-detail/06130449138446.html">INNER STATIONARY PLANET MEANS, GLOBAL WARMING PREVENTING MEANS, EARTH METEOROLOGY CONTROL MEANS, ULTRAVIOLET RAY SHIELDING MEANS, SOLAR OBSERVATION PLANET MEANS, SOLAR POWER GENERATION PLANET MEANS, VENUS COOLING MEANS, OUTER STATIONARY PLANET MEANS, AND 'SOLAR ECLIPSE WHERE SUN HIDES EARTH OR GLOBAL ATMOSPHERE' OBSERVATION/SIGHTSEENG PLANET MEANS, MARS WARMING MEANS, JUPITER WARMING MEANS, TELESCOPIC PLANET MEANS, MAGNETIC FIELD OBSERVATION PLANET MEANS, EARTH MAGNETIC FIELD OBSERVATION PLANET MEANS, INNER GEOSTATIONARY SATELLITE MEANS OF SAME REVOLUTION ANGULAR VELOCITY TYPE, OUTER GEOSTATIONARY SATELLITE MEANS OF SAME REVOLUTION ANGULAR VELOCITY TYPE, 'EARTH ECLIPSE WHERE MOON HIDES EARTH' OBSERVATION/SIGHTSEENG SATELLITE MEANS, SPACE 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