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Gold -- scope on the downside, but rally not over yet

机译:黄金-下行空间很大,但反弹尚未结束

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摘要

Gold spent most of the month of February rallying from the corrective pullback that saw prices slip from the high of 432 dollars/oz in January to around 400 dollars/oz in the early part of February. The price struggled to make it towards 416 dollars/oz on two separate occasions in mid-February. Its climb was aided by the fall of the US dollar against the euro on the continuing lack of concern expressed by the US Federal Reserve for the US dollar's fall as it would help reduce the country's current account deficit. But gold failed to make any progress higher, and disillusioned longs started to liquidate and the sell-off in the price recommenced. Long positions on COMEX fell by 19 percent over last month to 95,788 contracts (or 298t) on 24 February. COMEX has managed to maintain a net long position of 63,058 contracts (or 196t), which is back to levels seen in August 2003 when the gold price was at 360 dollars/oz. The price ended the month just below 395 dollars/oz. The average gold price in February was 405 dollars/oz, trading between 392 dollars and 416 dollars/oz. This represents a fall of 2.3 percent on the January average when prices remained above 400 dollars/oz.
机译:黄金在2月份的大部分时间里由于修正性回调而反弹,该价格从1月份的432美元/盎司的高位回落至2月初的约400美元/盎司。 2月中旬,金价曾两次试图涨至416美元/盎司。美元兑欧元下跌帮助美联储继续缺乏对美元下跌的担忧,因为美元兑欧元下跌将帮助其升值,因为这将有助于减少该国的经常账户赤字。但是,黄金没有取得任何进步,幻灭的多头开始平仓,价格开始下跌。 2月24日,COMEX的多头头寸较上月减少19%,至95,788张合约(或298吨)。 COMEX设法维持了63,058张合约(或196吨)的净多头头寸,回到2003年8月金价为360美元/盎司的水平。价格在本月底略低于395美元/盎司。 2月份的平均黄金价格为405美元/盎司,交易价格在392美元至416美元/盎司之间。当价格保持在400美元/盎司以上时,这比1月份的平均价格下降了2.3%。

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