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Quantifying global dust devil occurrence from meteorological analyses

机译:通过气象分析量化全球沙尘暴的发生

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摘要

Dust devils and nonrotating dusty plumes are effective uplift mechanisms for fine particles, but their contribution to the global dust budget is uncertain. By applying known bulk thermodynamic criteria to European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) operational analyses, we provide the first global hourly climatology of potential dust devil and dusty plume (PDDP) occurrence. In agreement with observations, activity is highest from late morning into the afternoon. Combining PDDP frequencies with dust source maps and typical emission values gives the best estimate of global contributions of 3.4% (uncertainty 0.9-31%), 1 order of magnitude lower than the only estimate previously published. Total global hours of dust uplift by dry convection are similar to 0.002% of the dust-lifting winds resolved by ECMWF, consistent with dry convection making a small contribution to global uplift. Reducing uncertainty requires better knowledge of factors controlling PDDP occurrence, source regions, and dust fluxes induced by dry convection.
机译:尘埃和不旋转的粉尘羽流是细颗粒的有效提升机制,但它们对全球粉尘预算的贡献尚不确定。通过将已知的整体热力学标准应用于欧洲中型天气预报中心(ECMWF)的运行分析,我们提供了全球第一个每小时每小时潜在的尘埃魔鬼和粉尘羽流(PDDP)发生的气候学。与观察结果一致,从清晨到下午,活动最为活跃。将PDDP频率与粉尘源图和典型排放值结合使用,可以得出3.4%(不确定度0.9-31%)的全球贡献的最佳估计,比以前公布的唯一估计值低1个数量级。由干对流引起的全球扬尘总小时数与ECMWF解决的扬尘风的0.002%相似,这与干对流对全球隆起的贡献很小。减少不确定性需要对控制PDDP发生的因素,源区域和干对流引起的粉尘通量有更好的了解。

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