Analysis of Ship Accidents due to Marine Engine Failure - Application of Logic Programming Technique (LPT)

摘要

Maritime accident is an issue of immense concern across the globe particularly because of its effect on environment and human lives. In general, there are many contributing factors behind maritime accidents, yet failure of marine engine is regarded as one of the main contributing factors. This paper, therefore, focuses on maritime accident due to engine failure. Literature review suggest that a wide range of accident theories have been developed over the years which can explain the causes of accidents. Nevertheless, there exist a significant deficiencies in computational techniques of accident prediction and analysis. Therefore, the authors attempted to present a new method named Logic Programming Technique (LPT). A simple modelling architecture is proposed which essentially utilizes search techniques to deduce an accident with sequence of events associated with engine failure. In this paper, a static knowledge base is constructed following two actual marine accident cases in order to explicate the concept. The research findings suggest that this technique has the potential to dig deep into the accident sequence and find out the root causes. Future challenges for developing this technique are discussed and research on further advancements are recommended.