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Optimal mitigation strategies with negative emission technologies and carbon sinks under uncertainty

机译:不确定条件下采用负排放技术和碳汇的最佳缓解策略

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摘要

In recent years a body of literature has arisen on the topic of how to compose the optimal portfolio of mitigation options. The focus has been mainly on options involving shifts from high- to low- or even negative-carbon technologies. Natural sinks play an important role in any attempt to stabilize atmospheric CO2 and usually enter as a constant term in the overall carbon budget. In this paper, we introduce natural sinks to the carbon management problem and analyze the implications for negative emission technology deployment and the overall mitigation strategy. Amongst other sensitivity analyses, we also investigate the impact of uncertainty in the carbon sink, which we find to raise the importance of negative emissions in the mitigation portfolio significantly lowering the cost of the policy mix.
机译:近年来,关于如何组成缓解方案的最佳投资组合的文献已经兴起。重点主要放在涉及从高碳技术向低碳甚至是负碳技术转变的选择上。天然汇在稳定大气中二氧化碳的任何尝试中都起着重要作用,并且通常作为总碳预算中的一个固定期限输入。在本文中,我们向碳管理问题介绍了自然汇,并分析了其对负排放技术部署和总体缓解策略的影响。除其他敏感性分析外,我们还研究了碳汇不确定性的影响,发现碳减排不确定性对缓解组合中负排放的重要性大大降低了政策组合的成本。

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