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Evidence and implications of recent climate change in Northern Alaska and other Arctic regions.

机译:阿拉斯加北部和其他北极地区近期气候变化的证据和影响。

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摘要

The Arctic climate is changing. Permafrost is warming, hydrological processes are changing and biological and social systems are also evolving in response to these changing conditions. Knowing how the structure and function of arctic terrestrial ecosystems are responding to recent and persistent climate change is paramount to understanding the future state of the Earth system and how humans will need to adapt. Our holistic review presents a broad array of evidence that illustrates convincingly; the Arctic is undergoing a system-wide response to an altered climatic state. New extreme and seasonal surface climatic conditions are being experienced, a range of biophysical states and processes influenced by the threshold and phase change of freezing point are being altered, hydrological and biogeochemical cycles are shifting, and more regularly human sub-systems are being affected. Importantly, the patterns, magnitude and mechanisms of change have sometimes been unpredictable or difficult to isolate due to compounding factors. In almost every discipline represented, we show how the biocomplexity of the Arctic system has highlighted and challenged a paucity of integrated scientific knowledge, the lack of sustained observational and experimental time series, and the technical and logistic constraints of researching the Arctic environment. This study supports ongoing efforts to strengthen the interdisciplinarity of arctic system science and improve the coupling of large scale experimental manipulation with sustained time series observations by incorporating and integrating novel technologies, remote sensing and modelling..
机译:北极的气候正在变化。多年冻土正在变暖,水文过程正在变化,生物和社会系统也在响应这些变化的条件而发展。了解北极陆地生态系统的结构和功能如何响应近期和持续的气候变化,对于了解地球系统的未来状态以及人类将如何适应至关重要。我们的整体审查提供了广泛的证据,这些证据令人信服。北极正在对变化的气候状态进行全系统响应。正在经历新的极端和季节性地表气候条件,受冰点的阈值和相变影响的一系列生物物理状态和过程正在改变,水文和生物地球化学循环正在发生变化,更常见的是人类子系统受到影响。重要的是,由于复合因素,变化的模式,幅度和变化机制有时是不可预测的或难以隔离的。在几乎所有代表的学科中,我们都展示了北极系统的生物复杂性如何突出并挑战了缺乏综合科学知识,缺乏持续的观测和实验时间序列以及研究北极环境的技术和后勤约束的问题。这项研究通过整合和整合新技术,遥感和建模,为加强北极系统科学的跨学科性和改善大规模实验操作与持续时间序列观测之间的耦合提供了持续的支持。

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