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Trends in ageing of the population and the life expectancy after retirement: A comparative country-based analysis

机译:人口老龄化趋势和退休后的预期寿命:基于国家的比较分析

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Background: During the 20th century, the share of elderly in the total population of the Earth has increased steadily. It is expected that this trend will continue in the 21st century. In 1950, the elderly (persons aged 60 years and older) were 8% of the world population; in 2000, is already 10%; and in 2050, according to United Nations projections, the proportion will reach 21%. This research on Kazakhstan provides demographic analysis from 1989 to 2012 and presents the main features of population’ ageing through comparative analysis. Materials and Methods: We used information-analytical, content-analysis, mathematical treatment and comparative analysis of statistical data on demographic status in Kazakhstan and some other countries of the world (UK, USA, Turkey, Russia) over the 19892012. Results: Age dependency ratio of the Russian federation - >1.7 times, in the USA-up to 1.9 times and the UK has dependency ratio higher than 2.5 times of similar indicators in Kazakhstan in 2010. Conclusion: Life expectancy of the elderly population KZ after 65 years in 2010 was only 13.8 years, which is 6-9 years inferior to European and U.S. indices. Thus, increasing the retirement age is inappropriate for the current period.
机译:背景:在20世纪,老年人在地球总人口中所占的比例稳步增加。预计这种趋势将在21世纪继续。 1950年,老年人(60岁及以上的人)占世界人口的8%;在2000年,已经是10%;到2050年,根据联合国的预测,这一比例将达到21%。哈萨克斯坦的这项研究提供了1989年至2012年的人口统计数据,并通过比较分析提出了人口老龄化的主要特征。材料和方法:我们使用19892012年哈萨克斯坦和世界其他一些国家(英国,美国,土耳其,俄罗斯)的人口统计信息进行了信息分析,内容分析,数学处理和比较分析。结果:年龄俄罗斯联邦的抚养比-> 1.7倍,在美国达到1.9倍,英国在2010年的抚养比高于哈萨克斯坦类似指标的2.5倍。结论:65岁后KZ的老年人口预期寿命2010年只有13.8年,比欧美指数低6-9年。因此,增加退休年龄不适用于当前时期。

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