Failure Prediction of Cross-Ply Laminated Double-Serial Mechanically Fastened Composites using Fuzzy Expert System

摘要

The scope of this study is to create a model that predicts failure loads for mechanically fastened composite plates using a fuzzy expert system. The composite material used in the study was manufactured in both a fibre reinforced manner and with glass fibres. The results of a previous experimental study for cross-ply laminated composite plates that were mechanically fastened with two serial pins or bolts were used to model and predict of failure loads. Furthermore, experimental data of a preceding study were obtained with different geometrical parameters for various applied preload moments (pinned/bolted) as 2, 3, 4 and 5 Nm. In this study, a fuzzy expert system and regression analysis methods were applied by using these geometrical parameters and pinned/bolted joint configurations. Therefore, 5 geometrical parameters and 300 test data were used. According to obtained results, it was determined that the fuzzy expert system was more appropriate than the regression analysis method for modelling and prediction. Performances of the fuzzy expert system and regression analysis method were discussed in terms of error ratios and mean absolute deviations.