Modeling propensity to move after job change usingevent history analysis and temporal GIS

摘要

The research presented in this paper analyzes the emergent residentialbehaviors of individual actors in a context of profound social changes in the worksphere. It incorporates a long-term view in the analysis of the relationships betweensocial changes in the work sphere and these behaviors. The general hypothesis isthat social changes produce complex changes in the long-term dynamics of resi-dential location behavior. More precisely, the objective of this paper is to estimatethe propensity for professional workers to move house after a change of workplace.Our analysis draws on data from a biographical survey using a retrospectivequestionnaire that enables a posteriori reconstitution of the familial, professionaland residential lifelines of professional workers since their departure from theirparents' home. The survey was conducted in 1996 in the Quebec City MetropolitanArea, which, much like other Canadian cities, has experienced a substantial increasein "unstable" work, even for professionals.