Testing for neglected nonlinearity in regression models based on the theory of random fields

摘要

Within a flexible regression model (J.D. Hamilton, Econometrica 69 (3) (2001) 537) we offer a battery of new Lagrange multiplier statistics that circumvent the problem of unidentified nuisance parameters under the null hypothesis of linearity and that are robust to the specification of the covariance function that defines the random field. These advantages are the result of (i) switching from the L_2 to the L_1 norm; and (ii) assuming that the random field is sufficiently smooth for its covariance function to be locally approximated by a high order Taylor expansion. A Monte Carlo simulation suggests that our statistics have superior power performance on detecting bilinear, neural network, and smooth transition autoregressive specifications. We alsoprovide an application to the Industrial Production Index of sixteen OECD countries.