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首页> 外文期刊>Journal of Econometrics >Detections of Changes in Return by a Wavelet Smoother with Conditional Heteroscedastic Volatility.
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Detections of Changes in Return by a Wavelet Smoother with Conditional Heteroscedastic Volatility.

机译:通过具有条件异方差波动性的小波平滑器检测返回变化。

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In this paper, we propose two estimators, an integral estimator and a discretized estimator, for the wavelet coefficient of regression functions in nonparametric regression models with heteroscedastic variance. These estimators can be used to test the jumps of the regression function. The model allows for lagged-dependent variables and other mixing regressors. The asymptotic distributions of the statistics are established, and the asymptotic critical values are analytically obtained from the asymptotic distribution. We also use the test to determine consistent estimators for the locations of change points. The jump sizes and locations of change points can be consistently estimated using wavelet coefficients, and the convergency rates of these estimators are derived. We perform some Monte Carlo simulations to check the powers and sizes of the test statistics. Finally, we give practical examples in finance and economics to detect changes in stock returns and short-term interest rates using the empirical wavelet method.
机译:在本文中,我们针对具有异方差方差的非参数回归模型中的回归函数的小波系数,提出了两个估计器:积分估计器和离散估计器。这些估计器可用于测试回归函数的跳跃。该模型允许滞后变量和其他混合回归变量。建立统计量的渐近分布,并从渐近分布解析地获得渐近临界值。我们还使用该检验来确定变化点位置的一致估计量。可以使用小波系数来一致地估计跳跃点的大小和变化点的位置,并得出这些估计器的收敛速度。我们执行一些蒙特卡洛模拟,以检查检验统计量的功效和大小。最后,我们通过经验小波方法给出了一些金融和经济学中的实际例子,以检测股票收益率和短期利率的变化。

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