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Testing normality: a GMM approach

机译:测试正常性:GMM方法

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In this paper, we consider testing marginal normal distributional assumptions. More precisely; we propose tests based on moment conditions implied by normality. These moment conditions are known as the Stein (Proceedings of the Sixth Berkeley Symposium on Mathematics, Statistics and Probability, Vol 2, pp 583-602) equations. They coincide with the first class of moment conditions derived by Hansen and Scheinkman (Econometrica 63 (1995) 767) when the random variable of interest is a scalar diffusion Among othei examples, Stein equation implies that the mean of Hermite polynomials is zero. The GMM approach we adopt is well suited for two reasons. It allows us to study in detail the parameter uncertainty problem, i.e., when the tests depend on unknownparameters that have to be estimated. In particular, we characterize the moment conditions that are robust against parameter uncertainty and show that Hermite polynomials are special examples. This is the main contribution of the paper. The second reasonfor using GMM is that our tests are also valid for time series. In this case, we adopt a heteroskedastic-autocorrelation-consistent approach to estimate the weighting matrix when the dependence of the data is unspecified. We also make a theoretical comparison of our tests with Tarque and Bera (Econom. Lett 6 (1980) 255) and OPG regression tests of Davidson and MacKinnon (Estimation and Inference in Econometrics, Oxford University Press, Oxford). Finite sample properties of our tests are derived througha comprehensive Monte Carlo study Finally, two applications to GARCH and realized volatility models are presented.
机译:在本文中,我们考虑检验边际正态分布假设。更确切地说;我们建议根据正态性暗示的力矩条件进行测试。这些矩条件称为斯坦因方程式(第六届伯克利数学,统计学和概率论研讨会论文集,第2卷,第583-602页)。当感兴趣的随机变量是标量扩散时,它们与Hansen和Scheinkman推导的第一类矩条件相吻合(Econometrica 63(1995)767)。我们采用GMM方法非常适合,原因有两个。它允许我们详细研究参数不确定性问题,即当测试依赖于必须估计的未知参数时。特别地,我们表征了对参数不确定性具有鲁棒性的矩条件,并表明Hermite多项式是特殊的例子。这是本文的主要贡献。使用GMM的第二个原因是我们的测试对于时间序列也有效。在这种情况下,当未指定数据的依存关系时,我们采用异方差自相关一致的方法来估计加权矩阵。我们还对Tarque和Bera的测试(Econom。Lett 6(1980)255)和Davidson和MacKinnon的OPG回归测试(计量经济学的估计和推论,牛津大学出版社,牛津)进行了理论比较。通过全面的蒙特卡洛研究得出了我们测试的有限样本属性。最后,介绍了GARCH的两个应用和已实现的波动率模型。

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