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A nonparametric test of a strong leverage hypothesis

机译:强杠杆假设的非参数检验

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摘要

The so-called leverage hypothesis is that negative shocks to prices/returns affect volatility more than equal positive shocks. Whether this is attributable to changing financial leverage is still subject to dispute but the terminology is in wide use. There are many tests of the leverage hypothesis using discrete time data. These typically involve fitting of a general parametric or semiparametric model to conditional volatility and then testing the implied restrictions on parameters or curves. We propose an alternative way of testing this hypothesis using realized volatility as an alternative direct nonparametric measure. Our null hypothesis is of conditional distributional dominance and so is much stronger than the usual hypotheses considered previously. We implement our test on individual stocks and a stock index using intraday data over a long span. We find only very weak evidence against our hypothesis. (C) 2016 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
机译:所谓杠杆率假设是,对价格/收益的负面冲击对波动性的影响大于对同等正面冲击的影响。这是否归因于财务杠杆的变化仍存争议,但该术语已被广泛使用。有许多使用离散时间数据的杠杆率假设检验。这些通常包括将一般参数或半参数模型拟合到条件波动率,然后测试对参数或曲线的隐含限制。我们提出了一种使用已实现的波动率作为替代直接非参数测度来检验该假设的替代方法。我们的零假设是有条件的分布优势,因此比以前考虑的通常假设要强得多。我们使用大范围的日内数据对单个股票和一个股指进行测试。我们只发现非常薄弱的​​证据反对我们的假设。 (C)2016 Elsevier B.V.保留所有权利。

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