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On the expected discounted penalty function for the compound Poisson risk model with delayed claims

机译:具有延迟索赔的复合Poisson风险模型的预期折现罚金函数

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In this paper, we consider an extension to the compound Poisson risk model for which the occurrence of the claim may be delayed. Two kinds of dependent claims, main claims and by-claims, are defined, where every by-claim is induced by the main claim and may be delayed with a certain probability. Both the expected discounted penalty functions with zero initial surplus and the Laplace transforms of the expected discounted penalty functions are obtained from an integro-differential equations system. We prove that the expected discounted penalty function satisfies a defective renewal equation. An exact representation for the solution of this equation is derived through an associated compound geometric distribution, and an analytic expression for this quantity is given for when the claim amounts from both classes are exponentially distributed. Moreover, the closed form expressions for the ruin probability and the distribution function of the surplus before ruin are obtained. We prove that the ruin probability for this risk model decreases as the probability of the delay of by-claims increases. Finally, numerical results are also provided to illustrate the applicability of our main result and the impact of the delay of by-claims on the expected discounted penalty functions.
机译:在本文中,我们考虑了复合Poisson风险模型的扩展,对于该模型,索赔的发生可能会延迟。定义了两种从属权利要求,即主权利要求和从属权利要求,其中每个从属权利要求都是由主权利要求引起的,并且可能以一定的概率被延迟。具有零初始剩余的预期折现罚金函数和预期折现罚金函数的Laplace变换都是从积分微分方程系统获得的。我们证明期望的折现罚金函数满足缺陷更新方程。通过相关的复合几何分布,可以得出该方程式的精确表示形式,并且当这两个类别的索赔额呈指数分布时,将给出该数量的解析表达式。此外,获得了破产概率和破产前盈余的分布函数的封闭形式表达式。我们证明,此风险模型的破产概率随着附加索赔延迟的概率增加而降低。最后,还提供了数值结果以说明我们的主要结果的适用性,以及副索赔延迟对预期的折现罚金函数的影响。

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