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Computational Aspects of Nonparametric Bayesian Analysis With Applications to the Modeling of Multiple Binary Sequences

机译:非参数贝叶斯分析的计算方面及其在二元序列建模中的应用

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摘要

We consider Markov mixture models for multiple longitudinal binary sequences. Prior uncertainty in the mixing distribution is characterized by a Dirichlet process centered on a matrix beta measure. We use this setting to evaluate and compare the performance of three competing algorithms that arise more generally in Dirichlet process mixture calculations: sequential imputations, Gibbs sampling, and a predictive recursion, for which an extension of the sequential calculations is introduced. This facilitates the estimation of quantities related to clustering structure which is not available in the original formulation. A numerical comparison is carried out in three examples. Our findings suggest that the sequential imputations method is most useful for relatively small problems, and that the predictive recursion can be an efficient preliminary tool for more reliable, but computationally intensive, Gibbs sampling implementations.
机译:我们考虑用于多个纵向二进制序列的马尔可夫混合模型。混合分布中的先前不确定性的特征在于以矩阵beta度量为中心的Dirichlet过程。我们使用此设置来评估和比较在Dirichlet过程混合计算中更普遍出现的三种竞争算法的性能:顺序插补,吉布斯采样和预测递归,为此引入了顺序计算的扩展。这有助于估计与聚类结构有关的数量,而在原始配方中则无法获得。在三个示例中进行了数值比较。我们的发现表明,顺序插补方法对于相对较小的问题最有用,并且预测递归可以成为更可靠但计算量大的Gibbs采样实现的有效初步工具。

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